Yaracuyanos FC v Club Atletico Barinas prediction · Segunda División

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Yaracuyanos FCDrawClub Atletico Barinas

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Yaracuyanos FC 69%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Yaracuyanos FC are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Yaracuyanos FC 69%, draw 19%, Club Atletico Barinas 13%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on Yaracuyanos FC v Club Atletico BarinasBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 23 Oct 09:22 · locked at kick-off

Yaracuyanos FC win69%

Draw19%

Club Atletico Barinas win13%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 19:30

RoundMatchday 36

VenueEstadio Florentino Oropeza

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Yaracuyanos FC

Club Atletico Barinas

7Days since last match3

Last match: 18 Oct · Segunda División (Venezuela)

Last match: 23 Oct · Copa Venezuela

2Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Yaracuyanos FC	31	+18	52
7	Club Atletico Barinas	31	−9	35

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · yaracuyanos fc winFirst published 23 Oct 09:22 · locked at kick-off

69% The market–

Us69%

We make Yaracuyanos FC a 69% chance to win. The model expects 2.4–0.9, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Yaracuyanos FC v Club Atletico Barinas~~2.42 – 0.94

~~Form · last six in Segunda División this season · since 17 Sept~~W5 D0 L1 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 52 v 35~~3 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Yaracuyanos FC win	69%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
Club Atletico Barinas win	13%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	64%	–	–
Both teams to score	55%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	43%	–	–
Yaracuyanos FC or draw	87%	–	–
Yaracuyanos FC clean sheet	40%	–	–
Club Atletico Barinas clean sheet	10%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 10.1%

0123450 4.5 2.8 1 8.0 8.6 3.7 2 10.1 9.2 4.4 3 8.0 7.3 3.4 4 4.9 4.5 2.1 5 2.5 2.2

under 2% 5% 12%+Yaracuyanos FC down, Club Atletico Barinas across0–5 goals a side shown (95.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,334 Segunda División matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Segunda División matches have gone over 2.5 in 52.8% of games this season, across 235 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2026 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Yaracuyanos FC at home: 2.33 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Club Atletico Barinas away: 1.17 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.42 goals for Yaracuyanos FC, 0.94 for Club Atletico Barinas. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 3

~~Both scored~~2 of 3

~~Last meetings~~CLU 1–0 YAR · YAR 1–2 CLU · CLU 1–4 YAR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Segunda División this season · since 17 Sept

YARACUYANOS FC

LWWWWW0–1 · 3–0 · 3–0 · 4–1 · 3–2 · 5–1

CLUB ATLETICO BARINAS

DWLLDL1–1 · 3–2 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 0–0 · 0–1

The table

2026 · Segunda División

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Deportivo Lara	31	+32	69
2	Fundación Lara Deportiva	31	+18	53
3	Yaracuyanos FC	31	+18	52
4	Urena SC	31	+3	47
5	Atletico el Vigia FC	32	−9	44
6	Zamora FC B	30	0	40
7	Club Atletico Barinas	31	−9	35
8	Puerto Cabello II	32	−10	34
9	Real Frontera	31	−43	15