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Monagas II v Petare FC
Monagas II
Petare FCSegunda División · SUN 18 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Monagas II win at 41%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Monagas II 41% before kick-off, 41% now. 0–0 · 41–27–33
- 1′KICK-OFF Monagas II v Petare FC
- 40′Monagas II score on 40′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 71–20–9
- 40′⚽ GOAL · 40' Monagas II 1–0 Petare FC
- 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 40' Monagas II win: 41% at kick-off, 71% now
- 41′We said Monagas II at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 71%. 1–0 · 71–20–9
- 42′The goal count is tracking the 2.9 we expected. 1–0 · 71–20–9
- 45′HALF-TIME Monagas II 1–0 Petare FC
- 46′SECOND HALF Monagas II 1–0 Petare FC
- 57′We said Monagas II at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–20–6
- 64′Petare FC are down to ten from 64′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 1–0 · 77–18–4
- 64′🟥 RED CARD · 64' Petare FC
- 69′We said Monagas II at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–3
- 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 71' Monagas II win: 41% at kick-off, 81% now
- 76′We said Monagas II at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–14–2
- 82′We said Monagas II at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–0 · 90–9–1
- 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' Monagas II win: 41% at kick-off, 91% now
- 89′We said Monagas II at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
- FTFULL TIME Monagas II 1–0 Petare FC
- FTMonagas II 1–0 Petare FC · Monagas II win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Monagas II are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Monagas II 41%, draw 27%, Petare FC 33%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 59%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 14 Oct 04:28 · locked at kick-off
Monagas II win41%
Petare FC win33%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 20:30
RoundMatchday 27
Match timeline
All events
Monagas IIMIN
Petare FCEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Monagas II
Petare FC
Last match: 10 Oct · Segunda División (Venezuela)
Last match: 11 Oct · Segunda División (Venezuela)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Monagas II a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 39%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.6–1.4.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 39% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monagas II win | 41% | 39% | +2 |
| Draw | 27% | 30% | −3 |
| Petare FC win | 33% | 31% | +2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 47% | +9 |
| Both teams to score | 59% | 53% | +6 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 71% | +8 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 27% | +7 |
| Monagas II or draw | 67% | 69% | −2 |
| Monagas II clean sheet | 26% | – | – |
| Petare FC clean sheet | 22% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
7 meetings since 2025Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Segunda División this season · since 30 Aug
MONAGAS II
PETARE FC
The table
2026 · Segunda División| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monagas II | 23 | +11 | 42 |
| 2 | Petare FC | 24 | +10 | 41 |
| 3 | Aragua FC | 24 | +9 | 39 |
| 4 | Bolívar | 24 | −1 | 37 |
| 5 | Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz | 24 | 0 | 32 |
| 6 | Mineros de Guyana | 25 | −10 | 21 |
| 7 | Marítimo | 14 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 | Atletico Avila FC | 24 | −22 | 13 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Aragua FC
Bolívar
Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz
Mineros de Guyana
Marítimo
Atletico Avila FC