Deportivo Lara v Zamora FC B prediction · Segunda División

Full timeGraded 12 Oct 00:30

Deportivo Lara 2–0 Zamora FC B DEPORTIVO LARA WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–0 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Deportivo Lara win~~63%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.207

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 5 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Deportivo Lara win at 63%.
1′Much as we predicted: Deportivo Lara was 63% before kick-off and our model makes it 64% now. 0–0 · 64–21–15
1′KICK-OFF Deportivo Lara v Zamora FC B
2′Much as we predicted: Deportivo Lara was 63% before kick-off and our model makes it 64% now. 0–0 · 64–21–15
3′Much as we predicted: Deportivo Lara was 63% before kick-off and our model makes it 64% now. 0–0 · 64–21–15
45′HALF-TIME Deportivo Lara 0–0 Zamora FC B
46′SECOND HALF Deportivo Lara 0–0 Zamora FC B
62′⚽ GOAL · 61' Deportivo Lara 1–0 Zamora FC B
75′⚽ GOAL · 74' Deportivo Lara 2–0 Zamora FC B
FTDeportivo Lara 2–0 Zamora FC B · Deportivo Lara win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 10 Oct 00:00

Deportivo Lara win63%

Draw22%

Zamora FC B win14%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 22:00

VenueEstadio Metropolitano de Cabudare

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Deportivo Lara

Zamora FC B

7Days since last match7

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Deportivo Lara	29	+29	63
6	Zamora FC B	29	+2	40

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · deportivo lara winPublished 11 Oct 17:22

63% The market–

Us63%

We make Deportivo Lara a 63% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–0.9, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Deportivo Lara win	63%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Zamora FC B win	14%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	55%	–	–
Both teams to score	51%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	79%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	33%	–	–
Deportivo Lara or draw	86%	–	–
Deportivo Lara clean sheet	43%	–	–
Zamora FC B clean sheet	14%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 11.2%

0123450 6.8 3.9 2.1 1 10.3 10.5 4.2 2 11.2 9.5 4.1 3 7.6 6.4 2.8 4 4.0 3.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Deportivo Lara down, Zamora FC B across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,322 Segunda División matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Segunda División matches have gone over 2.5 in 52.0% of games this season, across 223 played.

Head to head

3 previous meetings, 3.67 goals a meeting; 2 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Deportivo Lara at home: 3.00 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Zamora FC B away: 2.17 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.04 goals for Deportivo Lara, 0.87 for Zamora FC B. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~3.67

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 3

~~Both scored~~2 of 3

~~Last meetings~~ZAM 0–2 DEP · DEP 4–1 ZAM · ZAM 3–1 DEP

Form · last six in Segunda División

DEPORTIVO LARA

WWWWWL1–0 · 1–0 · 3–0 · 1–0 · 4–0 · 1–2

ZAMORA FC B

WLWWLL3–0 · 0–2 · 3–0 · 2–1 · 3–4 · 1–4

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Deportivo Lara	29	+29	63
2	Fundación Lara Deportiva	30	+19	53
3	Yaracuyanos FC	30	+14	49
4	Urena SC	29	+7	46
5	Monagas II	24	+12	45
6	Zamora FC B	29	+2	40
7	Atletico el Vigia FC	30	−10	40
8	Petare FC	23	+8	38
9	Bolívar	24	−1	37
10	Aragua FC	23	+6	36
11	Puerto Cabello II	30	−6	34
12	Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz	24	+1	32
13	Club Atletico Barinas	30	−11	32
14	Mineros de Guyana	24	−7	21
15	Marítimo	14	+3	20
16	Atletico Avila FC	24	−22	13
17	Real Frontera	29	−44	12