Deportivo Lara v Urena SC

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Deportivo Lara win at 67%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Deportivo Lara 67% before kick-off, 66% now. 0–0 · 66–22–12
3. 1′KICK-OFF Deportivo Lara v Urena SC
4. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' Deportivo Lara win: 67% at kick-off, 57% now
5. 37′We said Deportivo Lara at 67%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 55%. 0–0 · 55–32–13
6. 40′Urena SC find the net on 38′. 0–1. 0–1 · 24–30–46
7. 40′We said Deportivo Lara at 67%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–30–46
8. 40′⚽ GOAL · 38' Deportivo Lara 0–1 Urena SC
9. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Deportivo Lara win: 67% at kick-off, 24% now
10. 40′THE CALL SWINGS · 40' Urena SC win is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Deportivo Lara win 55%)
11. 41′The goal count is tracking the 2.8 we expected. 0–1 · 24–30–47
12. 45′HALF-TIME Deportivo Lara 0–1 Urena SC
13. 46′SECOND HALF Deportivo Lara 0–1 Urena SC
14. 49′We said Deportivo Lara at 67%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–30–51
15. 51′A goal for Deportivo Lara on 50′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 48–40–13
16. 51′We said Deportivo Lara at 67%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 48%. 1–1 · 48–40–13
17. 51′⚽ GOAL · 50' Deportivo Lara 1–1 Urena SC
18. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Deportivo Lara win: 67% at kick-off, 48% now
19. 51′THE CALL SWINGS · 51' Deportivo Lara win is now our likeliest result at 48% (was Urena SC win 52%)
20. 56′Deportivo Lara score on 55′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 88–11–2
21. 56′⚽ GOAL · 55' Deportivo Lara 2–1 Urena SC
22. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 56' Deportivo Lara win: 67% at kick-off, 88% now
23. 57′We said Deportivo Lara at 67% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 88%. 2–1 · 88–11–2
24. 58′3 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 88–11–2
25. 66′Urena SC find the net on 66′. 2–2. 2–2 · 36–53–11
26. 66′We said Deportivo Lara at 67%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 36%. 2–2 · 36–53–11
27. 66′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 36–53–11
28. 66′⚽ GOAL · 66' Deportivo Lara 2–2 Urena SC
29. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Deportivo Lara win: 67% at kick-off, 36% now
30. 66′THE CALL SWINGS · 66' Draw is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Deportivo Lara win 89%)
31. 68′We said Deportivo Lara at 67%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 2–2 · 34–56–10
32. 73′We said Deportivo Lara at 67%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 29–62–9
33. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Deportivo Lara win: 67% at kick-off, 27% now
34. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Deportivo Lara win: 67% at kick-off, 17% now
35. 83′We said Deportivo Lara at 67%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 14–81–5
36. 87′We said Deportivo Lara at 67%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 9–87–3
37. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Deportivo Lara win: 67% at kick-off, 7% now
38. 92′We said Deportivo Lara at 67%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–94–2
39. FTFULL TIME Deportivo Lara 2–2 Urena SC
40. FTDeportivo Lara 2–2 Urena SC · Deportivo Lara win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.