Atletico Avila FC v Mineros de Guyana prediction · Segunda División

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Atletico Avila FCDrawMineros de Guyana

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Mineros de Guyana 35%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Mineros de Guyana just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Atletico Avila FC 34%, draw 31%, Mineros de Guyana 35%. Over 2.5 goals 37%, both teams to score 44%.

The AI’s read on Atletico Avila FC v Mineros de GuyanaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 23 Oct 09:22 · locked at kick-off

Atletico Avila FC win34%

Draw31%

Mineros de Guyana win35%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 19:30

RoundMatchday 28

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Atletico Avila FC

Mineros de Guyana

7Days since last match4

Last match: 18 Oct · Segunda División (Venezuela)

Last match: 22 Oct · Copa Venezuela

2Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Mineros de Guyana	25	−10	21
8	Atletico Avila FC	25	−23	13

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · mineros de guyana winFirst published 23 Oct 09:22 · locked at kick-off

35% The market–

Us35%

We make Mineros de Guyana a 35% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Atletico Avila FC v Mineros de Guyana~~1.08 – 1.09

~~Form · last six in Segunda División this season · since 13 Sept~~W0 D0 L5 · W2 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 13 v 21~~8 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Atletico Avila FC win	34%	–	–
Draw	31%	–	–
Mineros de Guyana win	35%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	37%	–	–
Both teams to score	44%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	65%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	18%	–	–
Atletico Avila FC or draw	65%	–	–
Atletico Avila FC clean sheet	34%	–	–
Mineros de Guyana clean sheet	35%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 14.1%

0123450 12.9 11.3 6.8 2.5 1 11.2 14.1 7.1 2.7 2 6.6 7.0 3.8 3 2.5 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Atletico Avila FC down, Mineros de Guyana across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,334 Segunda División matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Segunda División matches have gone over 2.5 in 52.8% of games this season, across 235 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2026 in every competition we cover, 1.33 goals a meeting; 0 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Atletico Avila FC at home: 0.67 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Mineros de Guyana away: 1.17 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.08 goals for Atletico Avila FC, 1.09 for Mineros de Guyana. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~1.33

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 3

~~Both scored~~1 of 3

~~Last meetings~~MIN 2–0 ATL · ATL 1–1 MIN · MIN 0–0 ATL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Segunda División this season · since 13 Sept

ATLETICO AVILA FC

LLLLL0–4 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 2–3

MINEROS DE GUYANA

WDLWL4–1 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 3–2 · 0–3

The table

2026 · Segunda División

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Monagas II	24	+12	45
2	Petare FC	25	+9	41
3	Aragua FC	25	+9	40
4	Bolívar	25	0	40
5	Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz	25	0	33
6	Mineros de Guyana	25	−10	21
7	Marítimo	14	+3	20
8	Atletico Avila FC	25	−23	13