Rayo Zuliano v Caracas FC

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Caracas FC win at 38%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Caracas FC 38% before kick-off, 38% now. 0–0 · 33–29–38
3. 1′KICK-OFF Rayo Zuliano v Caracas FC
4. 15′🟨 YELLOW · 14' Rayo Zuliano
5. 34′🟨 YELLOW · 33' Jeriel De Santis · Caracas FC
6. 38′We said Caracas FC at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 0–1 · 9–20–70
7. 38′⚽ GOAL · 38' Rayo Zuliano 0–1 Caracas FC
8. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 38' Caracas FC win: 38% at kick-off, 70% now
9. 39′The goal count is tracking the 2.7 we expected. 0–1 · 9–20–71
10. 41′38′: Alejandro Villarreal on the scoresheet for Caracas FC, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 9–20–71
11. 45′SECOND HALF Rayo Zuliano 0–1 Caracas FC
12. 47′HALF-TIME Rayo Zuliano 0–1 Caracas FC
13. 55′We said Caracas FC at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 0–1 · 6–20–75
14. 58′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Caracas FC · On: Christian Adan·Larotonda Adan · Off: Miguel Vegas
15. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 63' Caracas FC win: 38% at kick-off, 78% now
16. 67′We said Caracas FC at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 0–1 · 3–17–80
17. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Caracas FC · On: Angel Figueroa · Off: Wilfred Correa
18. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Caracas FC · On: Michael Covea · Off: Robert Hernandez
19. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Caracas FC · On: Sebastian Gonzalez · Off: Alejandro Villarreal
20. 74′🟨 YELLOW · 72' Michael Covea · Caracas FC
21. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Caracas FC · On: Mauricio Marquez · Off: Jeriel De Santis
22. 75′We said Caracas FC at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 0–1 · 2–14–85
23. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Rayo Zuliano · On: Kelvin Pacheco · Off: Joiser Arias
24. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' Caracas FC win: 38% at kick-off, 88% now
25. 82′We said Caracas FC at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 0–1 · 1–9–90
26. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Rayo Zuliano · On: Efrain Gomez · Off: Jorge Luis Gomez
27. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Rayo Zuliano · On: Junior Colina · Off: Cristian Romero
28. 86′🟨 YELLOW · 85' Junior Colina · Rayo Zuliano
29. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Rayo Zuliano · On: Jean Sanchez · Off: angel jimenez
30. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Rayo Zuliano · On: luis urbina · Off: Jhan Velez
31. 88′We said Caracas FC at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 6%. 1–1 · 5–89–6
32. 88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Rayo Zuliano 1–1 Caracas FC
33. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' Caracas FC win: 38% at kick-off, 6% now
34. 88′THE CALL SWINGS · 88' Draw is now our likeliest result at 89% (was Caracas FC win 6%)
35. 89′We said Caracas FC at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–2 · 0–4–95
36. 89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Rayo Zuliano 1–2 Caracas FC
37. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 89' Caracas FC win: 38% at kick-off, 95% now
38. 89′THE CALL SWINGS · 89' Caracas FC win is now our likeliest result at 95% (was Draw 4%)
39. 90′3 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 0–4–96
40. 93′Michael Covea scores for Caracas FC on 90′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 0–2–98
41. 93′🟥 RED CARD · 90+3' Rayo Zuliano
42. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+3' Caracas FC win: 38% at kick-off, 98% now
43. FTFULL TIME Rayo Zuliano 1–2 Caracas FC
44. FTRayo Zuliano 1–2 Caracas FC · Caracas FC win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.