Deportivo Tachira FC v Monagas SC prediction · Primera División

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Deportivo Tachira FCDrawMonagas SC

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 23:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Deportivo Tachira FC 63%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Deportivo Tachira FC are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Deportivo Tachira FC 63%, draw 23%, Monagas SC 14%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on Deportivo Tachira FC v Monagas SCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 15:31 · locked at kick-off

Deportivo Tachira FC win63%

Draw23%

Monagas SC win14%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 23:30

RoundClausura - Quadrangular · matchday 2

VenueEstadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Deportivo Tachira FC

Monagas SC

3Days since last match3

Last match: 24 Oct · Primera División (Venezuela)

3Matches in previous 14 days4

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Deportivo Tachira FC	26	+18	51
10	Monagas SC	26	−8	29

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · deportivo tachira fc winFirst published 21 Oct 15:31 · updated 25 Oct 01:03 · locked at kick-off

63% The market–

Us63%

We make Deportivo Tachira FC a 63% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–0.9, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Deportivo Tachira FC v Monagas SC~~2.04 – 0.88

~~Form · last six in Primera División this season · since 12 Sept~~W3 D2 L1 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 51 v 29~~2 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Deportivo Tachira FC win

Published at 62%, 63% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Deportivo Tachira FC win	63%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Monagas SC win	14%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	56%	–	–
Both teams to score	52%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	80%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	34%	–	–
Deportivo Tachira FC or draw	86%	–	–
Deportivo Tachira FC clean sheet	42%	–	–
Monagas SC clean sheet	13%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 11.1%

0123450 6.7 3.7 2.2 1 9.8 10.8 4.3 2 11.1 9.7 4.3 3 7.5 6.6 2.9 4 3.9 3.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Deportivo Tachira FC down, Monagas SC across0–5 goals a side shown (98.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,478 Primera División matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Primera División matches have gone over 2.5 in 45.7% of games this season, across 208 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.60 goals a meeting; 5 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Deportivo Tachira FC at home: 2.00 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Monagas SC away: 1.83 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.04 goals for Deportivo Tachira FC, 0.88 for Monagas SC. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.60

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 10

~~Both scored~~6 of 10

~~Last meetings~~DEP 1–1 MON · DEP 3–2 MON · MON 2–3 DEP · DEP 0–1 MON

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Primera División this season · since 12 Sept

DEPORTIVO TACHIRA FC

LDWWDW0–2 · 1–1 · 4–2 · 4–1 · 2–2 · 2–1

MONAGAS SC

WWDWDL1–0 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 3–3 · 1–2

The table

2026 · Annual table

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Metropolitanos FC	26	+26	57
2	Deportivo Tachira FC	26	+18	51
3	Deportivo La Guaira	26	+13	44
4	Carabobo FC	26	+14	41
5	Puerto Cabello	26	+9	40
6	Portuguesa FC	26	+10	39
7	UCV	26	+2	39
8	Estudiantes de Merida FC	26	+2	37
9	Caracas FC	26	−3	32
10	Monagas SC	26	−8	29
11	Zamora FC	26	−15	25
12	Rayo Zuliano	26	−21	25
13	Trujillanos FC	26	−23	18
14	Anzoátegui FC	26	−24	17