Carabobo FC v Deportivo Tachira FC

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Carabobo FC win at 39%.
2. 3′Much as we predicted: Carabobo FC was 39% before kick-off and our model makes it 39% now. 0–0 · 39–33–28
3. 3′KICK-OFF Carabobo FC v Deportivo Tachira FC
4. 24′🟨 YELLOW · 24' Deportivo Tachira FC
5. 33′THE CALL SWINGS · 33' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Carabobo FC win 34%)
6. 43′We said Carabobo FC at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 8%. 0–1 · 8–23–69
7. 43′⚽ GOAL · 43' Carabobo FC 0–1 Deportivo Tachira FC
8. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Carabobo FC win: 39% at kick-off, 8% now
9. 43′THE CALL SWINGS · 43' Deportivo Tachira FC win is now our likeliest result at 69% (was Draw 23%)
10. 44′Goals are coming at about the 2.1 we expected. 0–1 · 8–23–69
11. 45′Franco Provenzano scores for Deportivo Tachira FC on 43′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 8–23–69
12. 45′SECOND HALF Carabobo FC 0–1 Deportivo Tachira FC
13. 48′HALF-TIME Carabobo FC 0–1 Deportivo Tachira FC
14. 51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Carabobo FC 1–1 Deportivo Tachira FC
15. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Carabobo FC win: 39% at kick-off, 28% now
16. 51′THE CALL SWINGS · 51' Draw is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Deportivo Tachira FC win 22%)
17. 54′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.1 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 6–21–73
18. 54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Carabobo FC 1–2 Deportivo Tachira FC
19. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Carabobo FC win: 39% at kick-off, 6% now
20. 54′THE CALL SWINGS · 54' Deportivo Tachira FC win is now our likeliest result at 73% (was Draw 21%)
21. 56′Eric Ramirez scores for Carabobo FC on 52′. 1–2 · 5–21–74
22. 57′Deportivo Tachira FC ahead on 55′ through an own goal by Jose Duran. 1–2. 1–2 · 5–21–74
23. 59′🟨 YELLOW · 57' Maurice Cova · Carabobo FC
24. 60′We said Carabobo FC at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–2 · 4–20–75
25. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Deportivo Tachira FC · On: Brayan Palmezano · Off: Oscar Hernandez
26. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Deportivo Tachira FC · On: Agustín Pérez · Off: Gustavo Lozano
27. 62′We said Carabobo FC at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 24–58–19
28. 62′⚽ GOAL · 62' Carabobo FC 2–2 Deportivo Tachira FC
29. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 62' Carabobo FC win: 39% at kick-off, 24% now
30. 62′THE CALL SWINGS · 62' Draw is now our likeliest result at 58% (was Deportivo Tachira FC win 19%)
31. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Carabobo FC · On: Sebastian Mendoza · Off: Maurice Cova
32. 65′4 goals already, more than the 2.1 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 22–61–17
33. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Carabobo FC · On: Yohandry Orozco · Off: Darwin Machís
34. 66′Eric Ramirez scores for Carabobo FC on 62′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 21–62–17
35. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Carabobo FC win: 39% at kick-off, 19% now
36. 70′We said Carabobo FC at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 19–66–15
37. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Carabobo FC · On: Dimas Meza · Off: Joshuan Berios
38. 76′We said Carabobo FC at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 14–74–12
39. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Deportivo Tachira FC · On: Luis Morales · Off: edwin vargas
40. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Deportivo Tachira FC · On: Delvin Alfonzo · Off: Jesús David Duarte Arias
41. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Carabobo FC win: 39% at kick-off, 9% now
42. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Carabobo FC · On: marcel guaramato · Off: Jose Duran
43. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Carabobo FC · On: Edson Castillo · Off: Matias Adrian Nuñez
44. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Deportivo Tachira FC · On: Guillermo Fratta · Off: Carlos Mendez
45. 95′Full time, 2–2. We called Carabobo FC at 39% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 2–2 · 0–100–0
46. FTFULL TIME Carabobo FC 2–2 Deportivo Tachira FC
47. FTCarabobo FC 2–2 Deportivo Tachira FC · Carabobo FC win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.