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Yaracuyanos FC v Fundación Lara Deportiva
Yaracuyanos FCFundación Lara DeportivaCopa Venezuela · WED 14 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Yaracuyanos FC win at 50%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Yaracuyanos FC was 50% before kick-off and our model makes it 51% now. 0–0 · 51–25–24
- 1′KICK-OFF Yaracuyanos FC v Fundación Lara Deportiva
- 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Yaracuyanos FC win: 50% at kick-off, 40% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Yaracuyanos FC 0–0 Fundación Lara Deportiva
- 45′🟨 YELLOW · 33' Fundación Lara Deportiva
- 45′🟨 YELLOW · 34' Fundación Lara Deportiva
- 45′🟨 YELLOW · 36' Yaracuyanos FC
- 46′SECOND HALF Yaracuyanos FC 0–0 Fundación Lara Deportiva
- 47′We said Yaracuyanos FC at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 38%. 0–0 · 38–41–21
- 49′⚽ GOAL · 49' Yaracuyanos FC 1–0 Fundación Lara Deportiva
- 50′A goal for Yaracuyanos FC on 49′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 80–16–4
- 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Yaracuyanos FC win: 50% at kick-off, 80% now
- 51′We published Yaracuyanos FC at 50%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–16–4
- 64′63′ and it is 1–1: Fundación Lara Deportiva have scored. 1–1 · 29–54–17
- 64′⚽ GOAL · 63' Yaracuyanos FC 1–1 Fundación Lara Deportiva
- 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Yaracuyanos FC win: 50% at kick-off, 29% now
- 64′THE CALL SWINGS · 64' Draw is now our likeliest result at 54% (was Yaracuyanos FC win 29%)
- 65′We said Yaracuyanos FC at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 28%. 1–1 · 28–55–16
- 66′Goals are coming at about the 2.6 we expected. 1–1 · 28–56–16
- 71′We said Yaracuyanos FC at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–62–14
- 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Yaracuyanos FC win: 50% at kick-off, 20% now
- 76′We said Yaracuyanos FC at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–70–11
- 81′We said Yaracuyanos FC at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 1–1 · 13–79–8
- 84′We said Yaracuyanos FC at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–85–6
- 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Yaracuyanos FC win: 50% at kick-off, 9% now
- FTFULL TIME Yaracuyanos FC 1–1 Fundación Lara Deportiva
- FTYaracuyanos FC 1–1 Fundación Lara Deportiva · Yaracuyanos FC win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassYaracuyanos FC are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Yaracuyanos FC 50%, draw 28%, Fundación Lara Deportiva 23%. Over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 50%.
Pre-match prediction
Published 14 Oct 20:33 · locked at kick-off
Yaracuyanos FC win50%Fundación Lara Deportiva win23%Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 21:00
Match timeline
All events
Yaracuyanos FCMINFundación Lara DeportivaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · this competition
Yaracuyanos FC
Fundación Lara Deportiva
Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026Positions of these teams
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Yaracuyanos FC | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Fundación Lara Deportiva | 5 | -13 | 3 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Yaracuyanos FC a 50% chance to win. The market has them at 52%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.6–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 48%, 50% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 52% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yaracuyanos FC win | 50% | 52% | −2 |
| Draw | 28% | 26% | +2 |
| Fundación Lara Deportiva win | 23% | 22% | 0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 51% | −5 |
| Both teams to score | 50% | 54% | −4 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 75% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 31% | −5 |
| Yaracuyanos FC or draw | 77% | 78% | 0 |
| Yaracuyanos FC clean sheet | 38% | – | – |
| Fundación Lara Deportiva clean sheet | 21% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
12 meetings since 2023Form · last six in Copa Venezuela
YARACUYANOS FC
FUNDACIÓN LARA DEPORTIVA
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Caracas FC | 5 | 9 | 13 |
| 2 |  Aragua FC | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Yaracuyanos FC | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Fundación Lara Deportiva | 5 | -13 | 3 |
The competition's standings.