UCV v Club Atletico Barinas

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said UCV win at 88%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: UCV 88% before kick-off, 88% now. 0–0 · 88–8–4
3. 1′KICK-OFF UCV v Club Atletico Barinas
4. 11′A goal for UCV on 11′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 95–4–1
5. 11′⚽ GOAL · 11' UCV 1–0 Club Atletico Barinas
6. 27′Club Atletico Barinas score on 27′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 81–13–6
7. 27′⚽ GOAL · 27' UCV 1–1 Club Atletico Barinas
8. 33′The goal count is tracking the 4.5 we expected. 1–1 · 79–15–6
9. 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 34' UCV win: 88% at kick-off, 78% now
10. 38′We said UCV at 88%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 76%. 1–1 · 76–17–7
11. 43′We said UCV at 88%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 74%. 1–1 · 74–19–7
12. 45′HALF-TIME UCV 1–1 Club Atletico Barinas
13. 46′26′: Y. Osorio on the scoresheet for Club Atletico Barinas, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 72–21–7
14. 46′SECOND HALF UCV 1–1 Club Atletico Barinas
15. 51′We said UCV at 88%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 69%. 1–1 · 69–24–8
16. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' UCV win: 88% at kick-off, 68% now
17. 55′Club Atletico Barinas find the net on 55′. 1–2. 1–2 · 35–31–34
18. 55′We said UCV at 88%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 35%. 1–2 · 35–31–34
19. 55′⚽ GOAL · 55' UCV 1–2 Club Atletico Barinas
20. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' UCV win: 88% at kick-off, 35% now
21. 56′We said UCV at 88%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–2 · 34–31–35
22. 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Club Atletico Barinas win is now our likeliest result at 37% (was UCV win 35%)
23. 60′We said UCV at 88%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–2 · 29–32–38
24. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' UCV win: 88% at kick-off, 28% now
25. 64′We said UCV at 88%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–2 · 24–33–43
26. 69′We said UCV at 88%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 1–2 · 18–33–49
27. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' UCV win: 88% at kick-off, 18% now
28. 72′A goal for UCV on 72′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 47–46–7
29. 72′We said UCV at 88%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 47%. 2–2 · 47–46–7
30. 72′⚽ GOAL · 72' UCV 2–2 Club Atletico Barinas
31. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 72' UCV win: 88% at kick-off, 47% now
32. 74′We said UCV at 88%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 43%. 2–2 · 43–50–7
33. 74′THE CALL SWINGS · 74' Draw is now our likeliest result at 50% (was Club Atletico Barinas win 52%)
34. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' UCV win: 88% at kick-off, 38% now
35. 79′K. Silva scores for UCV on 71′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 33–61–6
36. 80′UCV score on 80′ to make it 3–2. 3–2 · 94–5–0
37. 80′⚽ GOAL · 80' UCV 3–2 Club Atletico Barinas
38. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 80' UCV win: 88% at kick-off, 94% now
39. 80′THE CALL SWINGS · 80' UCV win is now our likeliest result at 94% (was Draw 63%)
40. 81′5 goals already, more than the 4.5 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 95–5–0
41. 86′UCV find the net on 86′. 4–2. 4–2 · 100–0–0
42. 86′⚽ GOAL · 86' UCV 4–2 Club Atletico Barinas
43. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 86' UCV win: 88% at kick-off, over 99% now
44. 87′We said UCV at 88% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 4–2 · 100–0–0
45. 88′That is 6, and we only asked for 4.5 across ninety minutes. 4–2 · 100–0–0
46. 89′A goal for UCV on 88′ — 5–2. 5–2 · 100–0–0
47. 89′⚽ GOAL · 88' UCV 5–2 Club Atletico Barinas
48. 90′7 goals already, more than the 4.5 we expected for the whole match. 5–2 · 100–0–0
49. 91′Club Atletico Barinas score on 90′ to make it 5–3. 5–3 · 100–0–0
50. 91′⚽ GOAL · 90+1' UCV 5–3 Club Atletico Barinas
51. 92′That is 8, and we only asked for 4.5 across ninety minutes. 5–3 · 100–0–0
52. FTFULL TIME UCV 5–3 Club Atletico Barinas
53. FTUCV 5–3 Club Atletico Barinas · UCV win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 3–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.