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Trujillanos FC v Rayo Zuliano
Trujillanos FC
Rayo ZulianoCopa Venezuela · WED 14 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Rayo Zuliano win at 39%.
- 1′KICK-OFF Trujillanos FC v Rayo Zuliano
- 2′Little has changed for our model: Rayo Zuliano 39% before kick-off, 40% now. 0–0 · 35–25–40
- 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Rayo Zuliano win 33%)
- 45′SECOND HALF Trujillanos FC 0–0 Rayo Zuliano
- 47′🟨 YELLOW · 6' Trujillanos FC
- 56′Goalless on 56′ when we expected about 2.9 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 26–45–29
- 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Rayo Zuliano win: 39% at kick-off, 29% now
- 61′We said Rayo Zuliano at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 27%. 0–0 · 24–49–27
- 67′We said Rayo Zuliano at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 21–55–24
- 74′We said Rayo Zuliano at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 17–64–19
- 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Rayo Zuliano win: 39% at kick-off, 19% now
- 80′We said Rayo Zuliano at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 0–0 · 12–75–13
- 84′We said Rayo Zuliano at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 8–83–9
- 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Rayo Zuliano win: 39% at kick-off, 9% now
- 91′We said Rayo Zuliano at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–93–4
- 92′🟥 RED CARD · 92' Trujillanos FC
- FTFULL TIME Trujillanos FC 0–0 Rayo Zuliano
- FTTrujillanos FC 0–0 Rayo Zuliano · Rayo Zuliano win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassRayo Zuliano are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Trujillanos FC 34%, draw 27%, Rayo Zuliano 39%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 58%.
Pre-match prediction
Published 14 Oct 20:33 · locked at kick-off
Trujillanos FC win34%
Rayo Zuliano win39%Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 21:00
Match timeline
All events
Trujillanos FCMIN
Rayo ZulianoEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · this competition
Trujillanos FC
Rayo Zuliano
Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Rayo Zuliano a 39% chance to win. The market has them at 39%. We are within 0 points of the market. The model expects 1.4–1.5.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 40%, 39% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 39% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trujillanos FC win | 34% | 36% | −2 |
| Draw | 27% | 26% | +2 |
| Rayo Zuliano win | 39% | 39% | 0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 55% | −1 |
| Both teams to score | 58% | 58% | 0 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 77% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 34% | −2 |
| Trujillanos FC or draw | 61% | 61% | 0 |
| Trujillanos FC clean sheet | 23% | – | – |
| Rayo Zuliano clean sheet | 26% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2026Form · last six in Copa Venezuela
TRUJILLANOS FC
RAYO ZULIANO
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rayo Zuliano | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| 2 | Urena SC | 5 | -2 | 6 |
| 3 | Trujillanos FC | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Deportivo Lara | 5 | -3 | 4 |
The competition's standings.
Urena SC
Deportivo Lara