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Portuguesa FC v Zamora FC
Portuguesa FC
Zamora FCCopa Venezuela · THU 22 OCT · Estadio General Jose Antonio Paez
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Portuguesa FC win at 50%.
- 1′KICK-OFF Portuguesa FC v Zamora FC
- 2′Little has changed for our model: Portuguesa FC 50% before kick-off, 50% now. 0–0 · 50–30–20
- 17′A goal for Zamora FC on 16′. 0–0 · 47–32–20
- 17′We said Portuguesa FC at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 22%. 0–1 · 22–26–53
- 17′⚽ GOAL · 16' Portuguesa FC 0–1 Zamora FC
- 17′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 17' Portuguesa FC win: 50% at kick-off, 22% now
- 17′THE CALL SWINGS · 17' Zamora FC win is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Portuguesa FC win 47%)
- 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 21' Portuguesa FC win: 50% at kick-off, 20% now
- 25′We said Portuguesa FC at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–26–55
- 28′Zamora FC find the net on 28′. 0–2. 0–2 · 6–13–82
- 28′We said Portuguesa FC at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 6%. 0–2 · 6–13–82
- 28′⚽ GOAL · 28' Portuguesa FC 0–2 Zamora FC
- 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 28' Portuguesa FC win: 50% at kick-off, 6% now
- 35′We said Portuguesa FC at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–2 · 4–12–84
- 45′HALF-TIME Portuguesa FC 0–2 Zamora FC
- 45′SECOND HALF Portuguesa FC 0–2 Zamora FC
- 62′The goal count is tracking the 2.3 we expected. 0–2 · 1–5–94
- 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Portuguesa FC win: 50% at kick-off, under 1% now
- 90′0–2 at the end. Our 50% on Portuguesa FC misses, and the record keeps it. 0–2 · 0–0–100
- FTFULL TIME Portuguesa FC 0–2 Zamora FC
- FTPortuguesa FC 0–2 Zamora FC · Portuguesa FC win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Portuguesa FC are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Portuguesa FC 50%, draw 29%, Zamora FC 20%. Over 2.5 goals 42%, both teams to score 46%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 16 Oct 09:24 · locked at kick-off
Portuguesa FC win50%
Zamora FC win20%Kick-offTHU 22 OCT · 00:00
RoundRound of 16
VenueEstadio General Jose Antonio Paez
Match timeline
All events
Portuguesa FCMIN
Zamora FCEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Portuguesa FC
Zamora FC
Last match: 18 Oct · Primera División (Venezuela)
Last match: 17 Oct · Primera División (Venezuela)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Portuguesa FC a 50% chance to win. The market has them at 30%. We are 20 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–0.9.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 30% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portuguesa FC win | 50% | 30% | +20 |
| Draw | 29% | 30% | −1 |
| Zamora FC win | 20% | 40% | −20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 42% | 0 |
| Both teams to score | 46% | 48% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% | 66% | +3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% | 23% | −2 |
| Portuguesa FC or draw | 80% | 60% | +20 |
| Portuguesa FC clean sheet | 43% | – | – |
| Zamora FC clean sheet | 23% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 3 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Copa Venezuela this season · since 24 June
PORTUGUESA FC
No matches in our record yet.
ZAMORA FC
The table
2026 · Round 1 - Group B| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zamora FC | 6 | +12 | 13 |
| 2 | Club Atletico Barinas | 6 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 | Atletico el Vigia FC | 6 | −5 | 7 |
| 4 | Real Frontera | 6 | −14 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Club Atletico Barinas
Atletico el Vigia FC
Real Frontera