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Monagas SC v Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz
Monagas SCDinamo de Puerto La CruzCopa Venezuela · WED 14 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Monagas SC win at 74%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Monagas SC was 74% before kick-off and our model makes it 74% now. 0–0 · 74–16–10
- 1′KICK-OFF Monagas SC v Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz
- 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' Monagas SC win: 74% at kick-off, 64% now
- 37′We said Monagas SC at 74%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 62%. 0–0 · 62–27–11
- 43′We said Monagas SC at 74%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 59%. 0–0 · 59–30–11
- 45′HALF-TIME Monagas SC 0–0 Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz
- 46′SECOND HALF Monagas SC 0–0 Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz
- 53′We said Monagas SC at 74%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 53%. 0–0 · 53–36–11
- 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Monagas SC win: 74% at kick-off, 53% now
- 56′We expected about 3.2 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 51–38–11
- 59′We said Monagas SC at 74%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 48%. 0–0 · 48–41–11
- 66′We said Monagas SC at 74%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 41%. 0–0 · 41–49–10
- 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Monagas SC win: 74% at kick-off, 41% now
- 66′THE CALL SWINGS · 66' Draw is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Monagas SC win 41%)
- 66′⚽ GOAL · 66' Monagas SC 1–0 Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz
- 68′66′ and it is 1–0: Monagas SC have scored. 1–0 · 90–9–1
- 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 69' Monagas SC win: 74% at kick-off, 90% now
- 69′THE CALL SWINGS · 69' Monagas SC win is now our likeliest result at 90% (was Draw 9%)
- 72′We published Monagas SC at 74%. Our model now makes it 91%. 1–0 · 91–8–1
- 73′⚽ GOAL · 72' Monagas SC 2–0 Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz
- 74′Monagas SC find the net on 72′. 2–0. 2–0 · 99–1–0
- 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' Monagas SC win: 74% at kick-off, 99% now
- 76′We published Monagas SC at 74%. Our model now makes it 100%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- 76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Monagas SC 2–1 Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz
- 78′A goal for Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz on 76′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 93–7–0
- 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Monagas SC win: 74% at kick-off, 93% now
- 80′Goals are coming at about the 3.2 we expected. 2–1 · 94–6–0
- 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 80' Monagas SC win: 74% at kick-off, 94% now
- 82′We published Monagas SC at 74%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
- FTFULL TIME Monagas SC 2–1 Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz
- FTMonagas SC 2–1 Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz · Monagas SC win: right · Over 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassMonagas SC are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Monagas SC 74%, draw 16%, Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz 9%. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 48%.
Pre-match prediction
Published 14 Oct 22:19 · locked at kick-off
Monagas SC win74%Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz win9%Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 23:00
Match timeline
All events
Monagas SCMINDinamo de Puerto La CruzEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Monagas SC
Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026Positions of these teams
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monagas SC | 5 | 10 | 12 |
| 4 | Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz | 5 | -16 | 3 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Monagas SC a 74% chance to win. The market has them at 81%. We are 6 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.4–0.7.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 73%, 74% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 81% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monagas SC win | 74% | 81% | −6 |
| Draw | 16% | 13% | +3 |
| Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz win | 9% | 6% | +3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 66% | −5 |
| Both teams to score | 48% | 41% | +7 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 86% | −3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% | 48% | −9 |
| Monagas SC or draw | 91% | 94% | −3 |
| Monagas SC clean sheet | 48% | – | – |
| Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz clean sheet | 9% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
3 meetings since 2024Form · last six in Copa Venezuela
MONAGAS SC
DINAMO DE PUERTO LA CRUZ
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monagas SC | 5 | 10 | 12 |
| 2 |  Mineros de Guyana | 5 | 11 | 10 |
| 3 |  Bolívar | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 4 | Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz | 5 | -16 | 3 |
The competition's standings.