Metropolitanos FC v Anzoátegui FC

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Metropolitanos FC win at 64%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Metropolitanos FC was 64% before kick-off and our model makes it 63% now. 0–0 · 63–23–14
3. 1′KICK-OFF Metropolitanos FC v Anzoátegui FC
4. 33′We said Metropolitanos FC at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 27%. 0–1 · 27–28–45
5. 33′⚽ GOAL · 33' Metropolitanos FC 0–1 Anzoátegui FC
6. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 33' Metropolitanos FC win: 64% at kick-off, 27% now
7. 33′THE CALL SWINGS · 33' Anzoátegui FC win is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Metropolitanos FC win 55%)
8. 34′A goal for Anzoátegui FC on 34′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 26–28–46
9. 35′Goals are coming at about the 2.9 we expected. 0–1 · 26–28–46
10. 38′We said Metropolitanos FC at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–29–47
11. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Metropolitanos FC win: 64% at kick-off, 24% now
12. 45′SECOND HALF Metropolitanos FC 0–1 Anzoátegui FC
13. 46′G. Marin scores for Anzoátegui FC on 33′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 20–29–51
14. 47′We said Metropolitanos FC at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–29–52
15. 47′HALF-TIME Metropolitanos FC 0–1 Anzoátegui FC
16. 56′We said Metropolitanos FC at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–29–57
17. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Metropolitanos FC win: 64% at kick-off, 14% now
18. 65′We said Metropolitanos FC at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–27–64
19. 75′We said Metropolitanos FC at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–21–74
20. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Metropolitanos FC win: 64% at kick-off, 4% now
21. 90′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. For the result after extra time our model now makes the draw likeliest at 46%. 1–1 · 40–46–14
22. 90′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. The shoot-out decides who goes through - our model does not price it. 1–1 · 0–100–0
23. 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Metropolitanos FC 1–1 Anzoátegui FC
24. 90′THE CALL SWINGS · 90' Draw is now our likeliest result at 91% (was Anzoátegui FC win 94%)
25. 92′Metropolitanos FC score on 90′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 4–94–2
26. FTFULL TIME Metropolitanos FC 1–1 Anzoátegui FC
27. FTMetropolitanos FC 1–1 Anzoátegui FC after 90 minutes, as graded · Metropolitanos FC win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.