Deportivo Tachira FC v Monagas SC

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Deportivo Tachira FC win at 62%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Deportivo Tachira FC 62% before kick-off, 62% now. 0–0 · 62–23–15
3. 1′KICK-OFF Deportivo Tachira FC v Monagas SC
4. 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Deportivo Tachira FC win: 62% at kick-off, 52% now
5. 41′We said Deportivo Tachira FC at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 50%. 0–0 · 50–34–16
6. 43′We said Deportivo Tachira FC at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 49–35–16
7. 45′SECOND HALF Deportivo Tachira FC 0–0 Monagas SC
8. 47′HALF-TIME Deportivo Tachira FC 0–0 Monagas SC
9. 53′We said Deportivo Tachira FC at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–41–15
10. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.9 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 43–42–15
11. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Deportivo Tachira FC win: 62% at kick-off, 42% now
12. 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Deportivo Tachira FC win 43%)
13. 60′We said Deportivo Tachira FC at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–46–14
14. 67′We said Deportivo Tachira FC at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–54–13
15. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Deportivo Tachira FC win: 62% at kick-off, 32% now
16. 72′We said Deportivo Tachira FC at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–60–11
17. 72′We said Deportivo Tachira FC at 62% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 89%. 1–0 · 89–10–1
18. 72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Deportivo Tachira FC 1–0 Monagas SC
19. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 72' Deportivo Tachira FC win: 62% at kick-off, 89% now
20. 72′THE CALL SWINGS · 72' Deportivo Tachira FC win is now our likeliest result at 89% (was Draw 60%)
21. 73′A goal for Deportivo Tachira FC on 73′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 89–10–1
22. 74′We said Deportivo Tachira FC at 62% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–0 · 90–10–1
23. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' Deportivo Tachira FC win: 62% at kick-off, 92% now
24. 84′We said Deportivo Tachira FC at 62% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
25. 90′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. For the result after extra time our model now makes the draw likeliest at 46%. 1–1 · 39–46–14
26. 90′The goal count is tracking the 2.9 we expected. 1–1 · 39–46–14
27. 92′We said Deportivo Tachira FC at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–94–2
28. 92′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Deportivo Tachira FC 1–1 Monagas SC
29. 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+2' Deportivo Tachira FC win: 62% at kick-off, 4% now
30. 92′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+2' Draw is now our likeliest result at 94% (was Deportivo Tachira FC win 98%)
31. 93′Monagas SC score on 90′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 3–95–1
32. 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+4' Deportivo Tachira FC win: 62% at kick-off, 2% now
33. 120′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. The shoot-out decides who goes through - our model does not price it. 1–1 · 0–100–0
34. FTFULL TIME Deportivo Tachira FC 1–1 Monagas SC
35. FTDeportivo Tachira FC 1–1 Monagas SC after 90 minutes, as graded · Deportivo Tachira FC win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.