Carabobo FC v Mineros de Guyana

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Carabobo FC win at 77%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Carabobo FC was 77% before kick-off and our model makes it 76% now. 0–0 · 76–17–7
3. 1′KICK-OFF Carabobo FC v Mineros de Guyana
4. 27′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 27' Carabobo FC win: 77% at kick-off, 67% now
5. 32′We said Carabobo FC at 77%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 65%. 0–0 · 65–27–8
6. 34′We said Carabobo FC at 77%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 64%. 0–0 · 64–28–8
7. 43′We said Carabobo FC at 77%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 59%. 0–0 · 59–33–8
8. 45′HALF-TIME Carabobo FC 0–0 Mineros de Guyana
9. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+1' Carabobo FC win: 77% at kick-off, 57% now
10. 46′SECOND HALF Carabobo FC 0–0 Mineros de Guyana
11. 51′We said Carabobo FC at 77%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 54%. 0–0 · 54–38–8
12. 55′We expected about 2.7 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 51–42–8
13. 56′Carabobo FC find the net on 55′. 1–0. 1–0 · 92–7–1
14. 56′⚽ GOAL · 55' Carabobo FC 1–0 Mineros de Guyana
15. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 56' Carabobo FC win: 77% at kick-off, 92% now
16. 57′We published Carabobo FC at 77%. Our model now makes it 92%. 1–0 · 92–7–1
17. 75′We published Carabobo FC at 77%. Our model now makes it 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
18. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Carabobo FC win: 77% at kick-off, 97% now
19. 90′A goal for Mineros de Guyana on 90′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 7–92–1
20. 90′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. For the result after extra time our model now makes Carabobo FC likeliest at 46%. 1–1 · 46–46–7
21. 90′Goals are coming at about the 2.7 we expected. 1–1 · 46–46–7
22. 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Carabobo FC 1–1 Mineros de Guyana
23. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Carabobo FC win: 77% at kick-off, 7% now
24. 90′THE CALL SWINGS · 90' Draw is now our likeliest result at 92% (was Carabobo FC win 99%)
25. 91′We said Carabobo FC at 77%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 6%. 1–1 · 6–93–1
26. 93′We said Carabobo FC at 77%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–96–1
27. 120′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. The shoot-out decides who goes through - our model does not price it. 1–1 · 0–100–0
28. FTFULL TIME Carabobo FC 1–1 Mineros de Guyana
29. FTCarabobo FC 1–1 Mineros de Guyana after 90 minutes, as graded · Carabobo FC win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.