Surkhon v Xorazm

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Surkhon win at 43%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Surkhon was 43% before kick-off and our model makes it 43% now. 0–0 · 43–30–26
3. 1′KICK-OFF Surkhon v Xorazm
4. 34′THE CALL SWINGS · 34' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Surkhon win 36%)
5. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Surkhon win: 43% at kick-off, 33% now
6. 45′HALF-TIME Surkhon 0–0 Xorazm
7. 46′SECOND HALF Surkhon 0–0 Xorazm
8. 49′We said Surkhon at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 31%. 0–0 · 31–49–21
9. 50′🟨 YELLOW · 50' Xorazm
10. 53′We said Surkhon at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–51–20
11. 63′We said Surkhon at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–60–16
12. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Surkhon win: 43% at kick-off, 23% now
13. 67′🟨 YELLOW · 66' Xorazm
14. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Xorazm · On: N. Abdikholikov · Off: Rafael Sabino
15. 70′We said Surkhon at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–67–13
16. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Surkhon · On: K. Yusupov · Off: S. Abdullazhonov
17. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Surkhon · On: B. Uktamov · Off: D. Ramazonov
18. 77′We said Surkhon at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–76–10
19. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Surkhon win: 43% at kick-off, 13% now
20. 82′We said Surkhon at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–84–7
21. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Surkhon · On: M. Musaxonov · Off: D. Tursunov
22. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Xorazm · On: A. Akhrorov · Off: S. Azimov
23. 89′We said Surkhon at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–93–3
24. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Xorazm · On: T. Ismoilov · Off: R. Abdukhamidov
25. 90′Full time, 0–0. We called Surkhon at 43% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 0–0 · 0–100–0
26. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Surkhon
27. 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+1' Surkhon win: 43% at kick-off, 3% now
28. 93′SUBSTITUTION · 90+2' Xorazm · On: U. Sultonov · Off: Rafael Tavares
29. 93′SUBSTITUTION · 90+2' Xorazm · On: N. Muzaffarov · Off: Lohan
30. FTFULL TIME Surkhon 0–0 Xorazm
31. FTSurkhon 0–0 Xorazm · Surkhon win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.