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Pakhtakor v Bunyodkor

Pakhtakor
3–1Full time
Bunyodkor

Super League · FRI 9 OCT · Pakhtakor Central Stadium

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 17:33
Pakhtakor 3–1 Bunyodkor PAKHTAKOR WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Pakhtakor win65%
The market said77%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.181
The market’s Brier score0.080

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Pakhtakor win65%
Draw19%
Bunyodkor win15%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 15:00

Venue · Pakhtakor Central Stadium

Referee · A. Nazhafaliev

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Pakhtakor

Formation not confirmed

35 S. Kuvvatov

7 K. Alizhonov

55 M. Abdumazhidov

4 Z. Tahseen

8 D. Saitov

21 B. Resan

9 I. Ibrokhimov

27 S. Sobirkhuzhaev

77 O. Bozorov

50 Flamarion

29 A. Hussein

Coach · Kamoliddin Tadzhiev

Substitutes

34 · S. Nasrullaev

10 · A. Mozgovoy

22 · M. Karimov

20 · D. Abdullaev

90 · S. Chinedu

12 · V. Nazarov

17 · D. Khamdamov

6 · S. Mirkobilov

15 · K. Erkinov

Bunyodkor

Formation not confirmed

1 A. Abdujalilov

45 S. Tursunmahammadov

3 S. Rakhmanov

13 M. Khakimov

27 I. Anvarov

10 A. Turakulov

42 A. Ikromov

66 A. Tulkinbekov

21 N. Abdusalomov

18 N. Akhmadjonov

14 S. Nematjonov

Coach · Ivan Boskovic

Substitutes

8 · D. Pletnev

22 · M. Sobirov

88 · M. Annamatov

33 · E. Naimov

74 · I. Bukrin

44 · A. Bekmurodov

39 · F. Muhammadov

11 · S. Abdunabiev

9 · M. Krivokapic

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Pakhtakor

Formation not confirmed

35 S. Kuvvatov

7 K. Alizhonov

55 M. Abdumazhidov

4 Z. Tahseen

8 D. Saitov

21 B. Resan

9 I. Ibrokhimov

27 S. Sobirkhuzhaev

77 O. Bozorov

50 Flamarion

29 A. Hussein

Coach · Kamoliddin Tadzhiev

Substitutes

34 · S. Nasrullaev

10 · A. Mozgovoy

22 · M. Karimov

20 · D. Abdullaev

90 · S. Chinedu

12 · V. Nazarov

17 · D. Khamdamov

6 · S. Mirkobilov

15 · K. Erkinov

Bunyodkor

Formation not confirmed

1 A. Abdujalilov

45 S. Tursunmahammadov

3 S. Rakhmanov

13 M. Khakimov

27 I. Anvarov

10 A. Turakulov

42 A. Ikromov

66 A. Tulkinbekov

21 N. Abdusalomov

18 N. Akhmadjonov

14 S. Nematjonov

Coach · Ivan Boskovic

Substitutes

8 · D. Pletnev

22 · M. Sobirov

88 · M. Annamatov

33 · E. Naimov

74 · I. Bukrin

44 · A. Bekmurodov

39 · F. Muhammadov

11 · S. Abdunabiev

9 · M. Krivokapic

Our number · pakhtakor winPublished 9 Oct 15:04
65% The market77%
Us65%
Market77%

We make Pakhtakor a 65% chance to win. The market has them at 77%. We are 12 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.2–0.9.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Pakhtakor win65%77%−12
Draw19%15%+4
Bunyodkor win15%8%+8
Over 2.5 goals59%65%−6
Both teams to score53%47%+5
Over 1.5 goals81%85%−4
Over 3.5 goals37%44%−7
Pakhtakor or draw85%92%−8
Pakhtakor clean sheet40%––
Bunyodkor clean sheet12%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 10.6%
0123450 4.7 4.4 2.0 1 10.1 9.1 4.2 2 10.6 9.6 4.4 3 7.6 6.9 3.2 4 4.1 3.8 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Pakhtakor down, Bunyodkor across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

11 meetings since 2021
Goals a meeting3.00
Over 2.55 of 11
Both scored6 of 11
Last meetingsBUN 0–1 PAK · PAK 4–2 BUN · BUN 1–1 PAK · BUN 2–0 PAK

Form · last six in Super League

PAKHTAKOR

WDDWWW2–1 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 3–0 · 3–1 · 2–1

BUNYODKOR

LLLLLW3–4 · 0–1 · 1–4 · 0–1 · 0–3 · 2–1

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Neftchi23+3352
2Pakhtakor22+1949
3Navbahor22+1844
4Lokomotiv22+835
5Olmaliq22+235
6Nasaf22+1234
7Buxoro22+334
8Dinamo Samarqand22−130
9Andijan22−130
10Sogdiana22−528
11Surkhon22−926
12Qizilqum21−1026
13Bunyodkor21−1122
14Xorazm23−1422
15Kokand-191222−1120
16Mash'al22−334

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.