Mash'al v Olmaliq

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Olmaliq win at 59%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Olmaliq was 59% before kick-off and our model makes it 59% now. 0–0 · 18–24–59
3. 1′KICK-OFF Mash'al v Olmaliq
4. 17′SUBSTITUTION · 15' Mash'al · On: I. Nusratov · Off: M. Jurabaev
5. 18′🟨 YELLOW · 18' Olmaliq
6. 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 34' Olmaliq win: 59% at kick-off, 49% now
7. 39′We said Olmaliq at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 47%. 0–0 · 17–35–47
8. 45′HALF-TIME Mash'al 0–0 Olmaliq
9. 45′SECOND HALF Mash'al 0–0 Olmaliq
10. 46′We said Olmaliq at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 17–39–44
11. 50′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Olmaliq · On: A. Sobirzhonov · Off: I. Pesic
12. 50′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Olmaliq · On: A. Sarimsakov · Off: A. Ulmasaliev
13. 50′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Olmaliq · On: N. Abdurazzakov · Off: K. Tursunkulov
14. 51′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Mash'al · On: S. Abduraymov · Off: J. Ubaydullaev
15. 51′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Mash'al · On: E. Ismoilov · Off: A. Rakhimov
16. 54′SUBSTITUTION · 52' Mash'al · On: Z. Akramov · Off: M. Boymurodov
17. 55′We said Olmaliq at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 16–45–39
18. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Olmaliq win: 59% at kick-off, 39% now
19. 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Olmaliq win 39%)
20. 56′We expected about 2.6 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 15–46–39
21. 63′We said Olmaliq at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 14–52–34
22. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Olmaliq · On: S. Haghnazari · Off: M. Kosimov
23. 68′We said Olmaliq at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 13–58–29
24. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Olmaliq · On: A. Mukimzhonov · Off: S. Akhrorov
25. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Olmaliq win: 59% at kick-off, 29% now
26. 74′We said Olmaliq at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 23%. 0–0 · 10–66–23
27. 78′We said Olmaliq at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 8–73–19
28. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Olmaliq win: 59% at kick-off, 19% now
29. 82′We said Olmaliq at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 0–0 · 6–80–13
30. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Mash'al · On: S. Yarashev · Off: I. Nusratov Corrected
31. 84′Olmaliq find the net on 84′. 0–0 · 5–85–10
32. 85′We published Olmaliq at 59%. Our model now makes it 96%. 0–1 · 0–4–96
33. 85′⚽ GOAL · 84' Mash'al 0–1 Olmaliq
34. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 85' Olmaliq win: 59% at kick-off, 96% now
35. 85′THE CALL SWINGS · 85' Olmaliq win is now our likeliest result at 96% (was Draw 4%)
36. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+3' Olmaliq win: 59% at kick-off, 99% now
37. FTFULL TIME Mash'al 0–1 Olmaliq
38. FTMash'al 0–1 Olmaliq · Olmaliq win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.