Dinamo Samarqand v Buxoro

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Dinamo Samarqand win at 52%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Dinamo Samarqand 52% before kick-off, 52% now. 0–0 · 52–23–25
3. 1′KICK-OFF Dinamo Samarqand v Buxoro
4. 6′⚽ GOAL · 6' Dinamo Samarqand 1–0 Buxoro
5. 6′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 6' Dinamo Samarqand win: 52% at kick-off, 75% now
6. 7′Dinamo Samarqand score on 6′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 75–15–9
7. 7′We said Dinamo Samarqand at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–15–9
8. 17′🟨 YELLOW · 17' Dinamo Samarqand
9. 18′Dinamo Samarqand are down to ten from 18′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 1–0 · 75–16–8
10. 18′🟥 RED CARD · 18' Dinamo Samarqand
11. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.9 we expected. 1–0 · 76–17–7
12. 33′SUBSTITUTION · 31' Dinamo Samarqand · On: S. Mustafoev · Off: A. Khudoyberdiev
13. 45′HALF-TIME Dinamo Samarqand 1–0 Buxoro
14. 46′SECOND HALF Dinamo Samarqand 1–0 Buxoro
15. 57′We said Dinamo Samarqand at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–16–4
16. 57′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Buxoro · On: J. Ruziev · Off: S. Jurabekov
17. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 64' Dinamo Samarqand win: 52% at kick-off, 82% now
18. 66′Buxoro find the net on 66′. 1–1. 1–1 · 29–53–18
19. 66′⚽ GOAL · 66' Dinamo Samarqand 1–1 Buxoro
20. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Dinamo Samarqand win: 52% at kick-off, 29% now
21. 66′THE CALL SWINGS · 66' Draw is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Dinamo Samarqand win 29%)
22. 67′We said Dinamo Samarqand at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–54–17
23. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Dinamo Samarqand · On: S. Kodirkulov · Off: F. Abdurakhmonov
24. 73′We said Dinamo Samarqand at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–62–14
25. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Dinamo Samarqand win: 52% at kick-off, 22% now
26. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Dinamo Samarqand · On: M. Stanojevic · Off: H. Hajdarevic
27. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Dinamo Samarqand · On: A. Khaydarov · Off: A. Khozhimirzaev
28. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Dinamo Samarqand · On: O. Urmonjonov · Off: A. Amonov
29. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Buxoro · On: V. Filipovic · Off: S. Kulmatov
30. 77′We said Dinamo Samarqand at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–69–12
31. 82′We said Dinamo Samarqand at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 1–1 · 13–79–8
32. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Dinamo Samarqand win: 52% at kick-off, 12% now
33. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Buxoro · On: A. Kayumov · Off: V. Rodic
34. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Buxoro · On: D. Begic · Off: S. Esanov
35. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Buxoro · On: N. Kacharava · Off: A. Joraboev
36. 87′We said Dinamo Samarqand at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 8%. 1–1 · 8–87–5
37. 87′🟨 YELLOW · 86' Dinamo Samarqand
38. 91′A goal for Buxoro on 90′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 0–5–95
39. 91′N. Kacharava scores for Buxoro on 89′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 0–5–95
40. 91′⚽ GOAL · 90' Dinamo Samarqand 1–2 Buxoro
41. 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+1' Dinamo Samarqand win: 52% at kick-off, under 1% now
42. 91′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+1' Buxoro win is now our likeliest result at 95% (was Draw 5%)
43. 92′We said Dinamo Samarqand at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at under 1%. 1–2 · 0–4–96
44. 92′3 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 0–4–96
45. 96′🟨 YELLOW · 90+7' Buxoro
46. FTFULL TIME Dinamo Samarqand 1–2 Buxoro
47. FTDinamo Samarqand 1–2 Buxoro · Dinamo Samarqand win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.