Bunyodkor v Sogdiana

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Bunyodkor win at 42%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Bunyodkor was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 42–24–35
3. 1′KICK-OFF Bunyodkor v Sogdiana
4. 18′🟨 YELLOW · 18' Bunyodkor
5. 20′Bunyodkor find the net on 20′. 0–0 · 40–27–33
6. 29′Sogdiana find the net on 29′. 0–0 · 38–29–32
7. 29′We said Bunyodkor at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 16%. 0–1 · 16–22–62
8. 29′⚽ GOAL · 29' Bunyodkor 0–1 Sogdiana
9. 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 29' Bunyodkor win: 42% at kick-off, 16% now
10. 29′THE CALL SWINGS · 29' Sogdiana win is now our likeliest result at 62% (was Bunyodkor win 16%)
11. 31′Goals are coming at about the 3.2 we expected. 0–1 · 15–22–62
12. 32′S. Mavlonkulov scores for Sogdiana on 28′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 15–23–62
13. 35′We said Bunyodkor at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–23–63
14. 38′SUBSTITUTION · 32' Bunyodkor · On: I. Bukrin · Off: S. Rakhmanov
15. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Bunyodkor win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
16. 45′HALF-TIME Bunyodkor 0–1 Sogdiana
17. 46′SECOND HALF Bunyodkor 0–1 Sogdiana
18. 53′We said Bunyodkor at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–23–68
19. 53′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Sogdiana · On: J. Boltaboev · Off: D. Zajmovic
20. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Bunyodkor · On: I. Anvarov · Off: S. Nematjonov
21. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Bunyodkor · On: A. Ikromov · Off: D. Pletnev
22. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Bunyodkor · On: M. Krivokapic · Off: S. Abdunabiev
23. 69′We said Bunyodkor at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–20–76
24. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Sogdiana · On: A. Abdurashidov · Off: J. Kakhramonov
25. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Sogdiana · On: O. Nurmatov · Off: N. Soyibov
26. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Bunyodkor win: 42% at kick-off, 2% now
27. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Bunyodkor · On: M. Olimzhonov · Off: N. Akhmadjonov
28. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Sogdiana · On: S. Kamolov · Off: S. Mavlonkulov
29. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Sogdiana · On: Z. Urinboev · Off: L. Doriev
30. 87′A goal for Bunyodkor on 86′. 0–1 · 0–7–93
31. 87′⚽ GOAL · 86' Bunyodkor 1–1 Sogdiana
32. 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 87' Bunyodkor win: 42% at kick-off, 7% now
33. 87′THE CALL SWINGS · 87' Draw is now our likeliest result at 86% (was Sogdiana win 7%)
34. 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+4' Bunyodkor win: 42% at kick-off, 2% now
35. FTFULL TIME Bunyodkor 1–1 Sogdiana
36. FTBunyodkor 1–1 Sogdiana · Bunyodkor win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.