Bunyodkor v Mash'al

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Bunyodkor win at 62%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Bunyodkor 62% before kick-off, 61% now. 0–0 · 61–23–16
3. 1′KICK-OFF Bunyodkor v Mash'al
4. 12′A goal for Mash'al on 11′. 0–0 · 59–25–16
5. 12′We said Bunyodkor at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 32%. 0–1 · 32–27–41
6. 12′⚽ GOAL · 11' Bunyodkor 0–1 Mash'al
7. 12′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 12' Bunyodkor win: 62% at kick-off, 32% now
8. 12′THE CALL SWINGS · 12' Mash'al win is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Bunyodkor win 59%)
9. 18′Bunyodkor find the net on 18′. 1–1. 1–1 · 57–27–16
10. 18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Bunyodkor 1–1 Mash'al
11. 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 18' Bunyodkor win: 62% at kick-off, 57% now
12. 18′THE CALL SWINGS · 18' Bunyodkor win is now our likeliest result at 57% (was Mash'al win 43%)
13. 20′🟨 YELLOW · 19' Mash'al
14. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' Bunyodkor win: 62% at kick-off, 52% now
15. 34′A goal for Bunyodkor on 34′. 1–1 · 52–32–16
16. 35′We said Bunyodkor at 62% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 84%. 2–1 · 84–13–3
17. 35′3 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 84–13–3
18. 35′⚽ GOAL · 34' Bunyodkor 2–1 Mash'al · S. Tursunmahammadov
19. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 35' Bunyodkor win: 62% at kick-off, 84% now
20. 45′HALF-TIME Bunyodkor 2–1 Mash'al
21. 45′SECOND HALF Bunyodkor 2–1 Mash'al
22. 46′We said Bunyodkor at 62% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–3
23. 59′SUBSTITUTION · 56' Mash'al · On: I. Abdulkhakov · Off: K. Tozhidinov
24. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Mash'al · On: M. Muydinov · Off: T. Tukhtasinov
25. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Mash'al · On: V. Stojanovski · Off: F. Jovliyev
26. 72′We said Bunyodkor at 62% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–10–1
27. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Bunyodkor win: 62% at kick-off, 92% now
28. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Bunyodkor · On: S. Abdunabiev · Off: M. Olimzhonov
29. 83′We said Bunyodkor at 62% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
30. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Mash'al · On: J. Abdulazizov · Off: I. Ifeanyi Corrected
31. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Mash'al · On: J. Abdulazizov · Off: S. Yarashev
32. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Bunyodkor · On: E. Naimov · Off: I. Anvarov
33. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Bunyodkor · On: S. Nematjonov · Off: M. Krivokapic
34. 89′🟨 YELLOW · 88' Mash'al
35. 90′2–1 at the end. Our 62% on Bunyodkor comes in. 2–1 · 100–0–0
36. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Bunyodkor
37. 95′SUBSTITUTION · 90+2' Bunyodkor · On: M. Annamatov · Off: A. Ikromov
38. FTFULL TIME Bunyodkor 2–1 Mash'al
39. FTBunyodkor 2–1 Mash'al · Bunyodkor win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.