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Yaypan v BuxDu

Yaypan
2–1Full time
BuxDu

Pro League A · TUE 13 OCT

Full timeGraded 13 Oct 14:12
Yaypan 2–1 BuxDu YAYPAN WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Yaypan win57%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.283

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 10 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Yaypan win at 57%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Yaypan was 57% before kick-off and our model makes it 57% now. 0–0 · 57–21–22
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Yaypan v BuxDu
  4. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Yaypan win: 57% at kick-off, 47% now
  5. 45′We said Yaypan at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 45%. 0–0 · 45–34–21
  6. 45′HALF-TIME Yaypan 0–0 BuxDu
  7. 46′SECOND HALF Yaypan 0–0 BuxDu
  8. 51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Yaypan 0–1 BuxDu
  9. 71′⚽ GOAL · 71' Yaypan 1–1 BuxDu
  10. 76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Yaypan 1–1 BuxDu
  11. 85′⚽ GOAL · 85' Yaypan 2–1 BuxDu
  12. 88′🟥 RED CARD · 88' BuxDu
  13. FTFULL TIME Yaypan 2–1 BuxDu
  14. FTYaypan 2–1 BuxDu · Yaypan win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published 13 Oct 10:41 · locked at kick-off

Yaypan win57%
Draw21%
BuxDu win22%

Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 11:30

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Yaypan

BuxDu

5Days since last match6
1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
11Yaypan21−1522
13BuxDu21−3610

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · yaypan winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 13 Oct 10:41 · locked at kick-off
57% The market–
Us57%

We make Yaypan a 57% chance to win. The model expects 2.1–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

How the number movedSince we published
55%60% 9 OCT 06:2113 OCT 05:51
Our probability · yaypan win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Yaypan win57%––
Draw21%––
BuxDu win22%––
Over 2.5 goals63%––
Both teams to score60%––
Over 1.5 goals83%––
Over 3.5 goals41%––
Yaypan or draw78%––
Yaypan clean sheet30%––
BuxDu clean sheet13%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.4%
0123450 4.1 4.7 2.9 1 7.9 9.4 5.7 2.3 2 8.0 9.4 5.7 2.3 3 5.5 6.4 3.9 4 2.9 3.4 2.0 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Yaypan down, BuxDu across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026
Goals a meeting3.00
Over 2.51 of 1
Both scored1 of 1
Last meetingsBUX 2–1 YAY

Form · last six in Pro League A

YAYPAN

WLLDLL2–0 · 1–3 · 1–4 · 0–0 · 2–5 · 1–2

BUXDU

LLLLLL0–4 · 1–2 · 0–2 · 1–2 · 1–3 · 2–6

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Aral20+2949
2Shortan21+1845
3Metalourg20+3040
4FarDu22+740
5Gazalkent22+1538
6Lochin22+838
7Kattaqurgon20+1036
8Olimpik-Mobiuz20+1332
9Respublika FA20−325
10Jayxun22−624
11Yaypan21−1522
12Pakhtakor II21−3410
13BuxDu21−3610
14Qiziriq20−364

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.