Qiziriq v Respublika FA prediction · Pro League A

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published 12 Oct 17:02 · result awarded, not graded

Qiziriq win22%

Draw23%

Respublika FA win55%

Kick-offMON 12 OCT · 12:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Qiziriq

Respublika FA

20Days since last match4

0Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Respublika FA	20	−3	25
14	Qiziriq	20	−36	4

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · respublika fa winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 12 Oct 17:02 · result awarded, not graded

55% The market–

Us55%

We make Respublika FA a 55% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Qiziriq win	22%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Respublika FA win	55%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	55%	–	–
Both teams to score	54%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	78%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	33%	–	–
Qiziriq or draw	45%	–	–
Qiziriq clean sheet	17%	–	–
Respublika FA clean sheet	35%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.6%

0123450 5.8 10.1 9.1 5.6 2.6 1 6.0 10.6 9.5 5.8 2.7 2 3.2 5.7 5.1 3.1 3 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Qiziriq down, Respublika FA across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 314 Pro League A matches up to 12 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Pro League A matches have gone over 2.5 in 55.9% of games this season, across 143 played.

Head to head

1 previous meetings, 6.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Qiziriq at home: 0.33 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). Respublika FA away: 2.00 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.07 goals for Qiziriq, 1.83 for Respublika FA. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~6.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~RES 4–2 QIZ

Form · last six in Pro League A

QIZIRIQ

LLLLLL1–2 · 0–3 · 0–3 · 0–1 · 0–3 · 1–4

RESPUBLIKA FA

LWLWWW1–3 · 3–1 · 2–3 · 2–1 · 3–0 · 2–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Aral	20	+29	49
2	Shortan	21	+18	45
3	Metalourg	20	+30	40
4	FarDu	21	+10	40
5	Gazalkent	21	+14	35
6	Lochin	21	+7	35
7	Kattaqurgon	19	+7	33
8	Olimpik-Mobiuz	19	+14	32
9	Respublika FA	20	−3	25
10	Jayxun	21	−5	24
11	Yaypan	21	−15	22
12	Pakhtakor II	21	−34	10
13	BuxDu	21	−36	10
14	Qiziriq	20	−36	4