Qiziriq v Olimpik-Mobiuz prediction · Pro League A

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · awarded

Olimpik-Mobiuz are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Qiziriq 13%, draw 18%, Olimpik-Mobiuz 69%. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Qiziriq v Olimpik-MobiuzBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · result awarded, not graded

Qiziriq win13%

Draw18%

Olimpik-Mobiuz win69%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 24

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Qiziriq

Olimpik-Mobiuz

32Days since last match4

Last match: 22 Sept · Pro League A

Last match: 20 Oct · Pro League A

0Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Olimpik-Mobiuz	22	+15	36
14	Qiziriq	23	−45	4

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · olimpik-mobiuz winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · result awarded, not graded

69% The market–

Us69%

We make Olimpik-Mobiuz a 69% chance to win. The model expects 0.9–2.4, and 0–2 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Qiziriq v Olimpik-Mobiuz~~0.90 – 2.37

~~Form · last six in Pro League A this season · since 15 Aug~~W0 D0 L6 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 4 v 36~~14 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Olimpik-Mobiuz win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Qiziriq win	13%	–	–
Draw	18%	–	–
Olimpik-Mobiuz win	69%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	63%	–	–
Both teams to score	53%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	83%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	41%	–	–
Qiziriq or draw	31%	–	–
Qiziriq clean sheet	10%	–	–
Olimpik-Mobiuz clean sheet	41%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–2 at 10.6%

0123450 4.1 9.2 10.6 8.3 5.0 2.51 3.6 8.1 9.3 7.2 4.3 2.12 3.7 4.2 3.3 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Qiziriq down, Olimpik-Mobiuz across0–5 goals a side shown (96.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 327 Pro League A matches up to 21 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Pro League A matches have gone over 2.5 in 57.1% of games this season, across 156 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2026 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Qiziriq at home: 0.33 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). Olimpik-Mobiuz away: 2.50 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.90 goals for Qiziriq, 2.37 for Olimpik-Mobiuz. Most likely score 0–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~0 of 1

~~Last meetings~~OLI 3–0 QIZ

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Pro League A this season · since 15 Aug

QIZIRIQ

LLLLLL1–2 · 0–3 · 0–3 · 0–1 · 0–3 · 1–4

OLIMPIK-MOBIUZ

LWDLDW2–3 · 2–1 · 2–2 · 1–2 · 2–2 · 4–2

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Aral	23	+35	58
2	Metalourg	23	+34	47
3	Shortan	23	+17	46
4	Gazalkent	23	+16	41
5	FarDu	23	+6	40
6	Lochin	23	+8	39
7	Kattaqurgon	22	+7	37
8	Olimpik-Mobiuz	22	+15	36
9	Respublika FA	23	−2	29
10	Yaypan	23	−16	25
11	Jayxun	23	−8	24
12	Pakhtakor II	23	−33	13
13	BuxDu	23	−34	13
14	Qiziriq	23	−45	4