Lochin v FarDu prediction · Pro League A

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

LochinDrawFarDu

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 10:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Lochin 43%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Lochin are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Lochin 43%, draw 24%, FarDu 33%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 58%.

The AI’s read on Lochin v FarDuBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 20 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Lochin win43%

Draw24%

FarDu win33%

Kick-offMON 26 OCT · 10:00

RoundMatchday 24

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Lochin

FarDu

8Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Pro League A

Last match: 19 Oct · Pro League A

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	FarDu	23	+6	40
8	Lochin	23	+8	39

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · lochin winFirst published 20 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

43% The market–

Us43%

We make Lochin a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Lochin v FarDu~~1.61 – 1.35

~~Form · last six in Pro League A this season · since 6 Sept~~W2 D2 L2 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 39 v 40~~8 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Lochin win	43%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
FarDu win	33%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	56%	–	–
Both teams to score	58%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	79%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	34%	–	–
Lochin or draw	67%	–	–
Lochin clean sheet	26%	–	–
FarDu clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.0%

0123450 5.4 7.2 4.8 2.2 1 8.5 11.0 7.5 3.4 2 6.7 8.8 5.9 2.7 3 3.6 4.7 3.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Lochin down, FarDu across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 328 Pro League A matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Pro League A matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.7% of games this season, across 157 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2026 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Lochin at home: 1.00 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). FarDu away: 1.17 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.61 goals for Lochin, 1.35 for FarDu. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~FAR 2–1 LOC

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Pro League A this season · since 6 Sept

LOCHIN

DLLWWD1–1 · 0–2 · 0–3 · 6–2 · 2–1 · 4–4

FARDU

DWWDLL1–1 · 3–2 · 3–1 · 2–2 · 0–3 · 0–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Aral	23	+35	58
2	Metalourg	23	+34	47
3	Shortan	23	+17	46
4	Gazalkent	23	+16	41
5	Kattaqurgon	23	+8	40
6	FarDu	23	+6	40
7	Olimpik-Mobiuz	23	+18	39
8	Lochin	23	+8	39
9	Respublika FA	23	−2	29
10	Yaypan	24	−17	25
11	Jayxun	23	−8	24
12	Pakhtakor II	23	−33	13
13	BuxDu	23	−34	13
14	Qiziriq	24	−48	4