Kattaqurgon v Olimpik-Mobiuz prediction · Pro League A

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

KattaqurgonDrawOlimpik-Mobiuz

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 10:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Kattaqurgon 38%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Kattaqurgon just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Kattaqurgon 38%, draw 26%, Olimpik-Mobiuz 37%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on Kattaqurgon v Olimpik-MobiuzBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Kattaqurgon win38%

Draw26%

Olimpik-Mobiuz win37%

Kick-offTHU 29 OCT · 10:00

RoundMatchday 20

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Kattaqurgon

Olimpik-Mobiuz

5Days since last match9

Last match: 24 Oct · Pro League A

Last match: 20 Oct · Pro League A

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Kattaqurgon	23	+8	40
7	Olimpik-Mobiuz	23	+18	39

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kattaqurgon winFirst published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

38% The market–

Us38%

We make Kattaqurgon a 38% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Kattaqurgon v Olimpik-Mobiuz~~1.36 – 1.34

~~Form · last six in Pro League A this season · since 2 Sept~~W3 D1 L1 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 40 v 39~~5 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Kattaqurgon win	38%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Olimpik-Mobiuz win	37%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	51%	–	–
Both teams to score	54%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	75%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	29%	–	–
Kattaqurgon or draw	63%	–	–
Kattaqurgon clean sheet	27%	–	–
Olimpik-Mobiuz clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.1%

0123450 7.0 9.0 6.0 2.7 1 9.1 12.1 8.0 3.6 2 6.2 8.1 5.4 2.5 3 2.9 3.7 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Kattaqurgon down, Olimpik-Mobiuz across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 327 Pro League A matches up to 21 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Pro League A matches have gone over 2.5 in 57.1% of games this season, across 156 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2026 in every competition we cover, 0.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Kattaqurgon at home: 2.17 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). Olimpik-Mobiuz away: 2.50 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.36 goals for Kattaqurgon, 1.34 for Olimpik-Mobiuz. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~0.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 1

~~Both scored~~0 of 1

~~Last meetings~~OLI 0–0 KAT

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Pro League A this season · since 2 Sept

KATTAQURGON

LWWDW1–3 · 2–0 · 3–0 · 4–4 · 1–0

OLIMPIK-MOBIUZ

LWDLDW2–3 · 2–1 · 2–2 · 1–2 · 2–2 · 4–2

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Aral	23	+35	58
2	Metalourg	23	+34	47
3	Shortan	23	+17	46
4	Gazalkent	23	+16	41
5	Kattaqurgon	23	+8	40
6	FarDu	23	+6	40
7	Olimpik-Mobiuz	23	+18	39
8	Lochin	23	+8	39
9	Respublika FA	23	−2	29
10	Yaypan	24	−17	25
11	Jayxun	23	−8	24
12	Pakhtakor II	23	−33	13
13	BuxDu	23	−34	13
14	Qiziriq	24	−48	4