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Kattaqurgon v Lochin

Kattaqurgon
4–4Full time
Lochin

Pro League A · SUN 18 OCT

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 13:36
Kattaqurgon 4–4 Lochin KATTAQURGON WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Kattaqurgon win44%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.795

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay25 notes · 26 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Kattaqurgon win at 44%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Kattaqurgon 44% before kick-off, 44% now. 0–0 · 44–28–28
  3. 1′Kattaqurgon score on 1′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 72–18–11
  4. 1′We said Kattaqurgon at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 72%. 1–0 · 72–18–11
  5. 1′KICK-OFF Kattaqurgon v Lochin
  6. 1′⚽ GOAL · 1' Kattaqurgon 1–0 Lochin
  7. 1′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 1' Kattaqurgon win: 44% at kick-off, 72% now
  8. 6′5′: F. Narh on the scoresheet for Kattaqurgon, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 72–18–10
  9. 7′Lochin find the net on 6′. 1–1. 1–1 · 43–29–28
  10. 7′⚽ GOAL · 6' Kattaqurgon 1–1 Lochin
  11. 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 7' Kattaqurgon win: 44% at kick-off, 43% now
  12. 32′A goal for Lochin on 32′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 13–25–62
  13. 32′⚽ GOAL · 32' Kattaqurgon 1–2 Lochin
  14. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' Kattaqurgon win: 44% at kick-off, 13% now
  15. 32′THE CALL SWINGS · 32' Lochin win is now our likeliest result at 62% (was Kattaqurgon win 13%)
  16. 33′We said Kattaqurgon at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 1–2 · 13–25–62
  17. 33′3 goals already, more than the 2.3 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 13–25–62
  18. 45′HALF-TIME Kattaqurgon 1–2 Lochin
  19. 46′SECOND HALF Kattaqurgon 1–2 Lochin
  20. 47′We said Kattaqurgon at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–2 · 9–24–67
  21. 62′Kattaqurgon score on 62′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 26–55–19
  22. 62′We said Kattaqurgon at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 26%. 2–2 · 26–55–19
  23. 62′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.3 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 26–55–19
  24. 62′⚽ GOAL · 62' Kattaqurgon 2–2 Lochin
  25. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 62' Kattaqurgon win: 44% at kick-off, 26% now
  26. 62′THE CALL SWINGS · 62' Draw is now our likeliest result at 55% (was Lochin win 19%)
  27. 66′We said Kattaqurgon at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 24–59–17
  28. 67′Kattaqurgon find the net on 67′. 3–2. 3–2 · 83–15–2
  29. 67′⚽ GOAL · 67' Kattaqurgon 3–2 Lochin
  30. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 67' Kattaqurgon win: 44% at kick-off, 83% now
  31. 67′THE CALL SWINGS · 67' Kattaqurgon win is now our likeliest result at 83% (was Draw 15%)
  32. 68′We said Kattaqurgon at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 84%. 3–2 · 84–14–2
  33. 68′5 goals already, more than the 2.3 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 84–14–2
  34. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 68' Kattaqurgon win: 44% at kick-off, 84% now
  35. 70′We said Kattaqurgon at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 3–2 · 85–14–2
  36. 71′A goal for Lochin on 71′ — 3–3. 3–3 · 20–65–15
  37. 71′That is 6, and we only asked for 2.3 across ninety minutes. 3–3 · 20–65–15
  38. 71′⚽ GOAL · 71' Kattaqurgon 3–3 Lochin
  39. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Kattaqurgon win: 44% at kick-off, 20% now
  40. 71′THE CALL SWINGS · 71' Draw is now our likeliest result at 65% (was Kattaqurgon win 20%)
  41. 73′We said Kattaqurgon at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 3–3 · 19–67–14
  42. 76′Lochin score on 76′ to make it 3–4. 3–4 · 2–15–84
  43. 76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Kattaqurgon 3–4 Lochin
  44. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Kattaqurgon win: 44% at kick-off, 2% now
  45. 76′THE CALL SWINGS · 76' Lochin win is now our likeliest result at 84% (was Draw 15%)
  46. 77′We said Kattaqurgon at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 1%. 3–4 · 1–14–85
  47. 77′7 goals already, more than the 2.3 we expected for the whole match. 3–4 · 1–14–85
  48. 90′Kattaqurgon find the net on 89′. 4–4. 4–4 · 4–93–3
  49. 90′That is 8, and we only asked for 2.3 across ninety minutes. 4–4 · 4–93–3
  50. 90′⚽ GOAL · 89' Kattaqurgon 4–4 Lochin
  51. 90′THE CALL SWINGS · 90' Draw is now our likeliest result at 93% (was Lochin win 3%)
  52. FTFULL TIME Kattaqurgon 4–4 Lochin
  53. FTKattaqurgon 4–4 Lochin · Kattaqurgon win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Kattaqurgon are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Kattaqurgon 44%, draw 28%, Lochin 28%. Over 2.5 goals 42%, both teams to score 46%.

The AI’s read on Kattaqurgon v LochinBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Kattaqurgon win44%
Draw28%
Lochin win28%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 11:00

RoundMatchday 23

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Kattaqurgon

Lochin

6Days since last match6

Last match: 12 Oct · Pro League A

Last match: 12 Oct · Pro League A

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
6Lochin22+838
7Kattaqurgon21+736

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kattaqurgon winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · updated 13 Oct 05:51 · locked at kick-off
44% The market–
Us44%

We make Kattaqurgon a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Kattaqurgon v Lochin1.34 – 1.01
Form · last six in Pro League A this season · since 15 AugW2 D0 L4 · W3 D1 L2
Table places · points 36 v 387 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50% 12 OCT 04:0718 OCT 10:45
Our probability · Kattaqurgon win

Published at 43%, 44% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Kattaqurgon win44%––
Draw28%––
Lochin win28%––
Over 2.5 goals42%––
Both teams to score46%––
Over 1.5 goals68%––
Over 3.5 goals21%––
Kattaqurgon or draw72%––
Kattaqurgon clean sheet37%––
Lochin clean sheet27%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.7%
0123450 10.1 9.6 4.9 1 12.7 12.7 6.4 2.2 2 8.5 8.4 4.2 3 3.9 3.8 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Kattaqurgon down, Lochin across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.50 of 1
Both scored0 of 1
Last meetingsLOC 2–0 KAT

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Pro League A this season · since 15 Aug

KATTAQURGON

LLLLWW0–1 · 2–4 · 0–1 · 1–3 · 2–0 · 3–0

LOCHIN

WDLLWW1–0 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 0–3 · 6–2 · 2–1

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Aral22+3355
2Shortan23+1746
3Metalourg22+3344
4Gazalkent23+1641
5FarDu22+740
6Lochin22+838
7Kattaqurgon21+736
8Olimpik-Mobiuz21+1333
9Respublika FA22029
10Yaypan22−1425
11Jayxun22−624
12Pakhtakor II22−3510
13BuxDu22−3710
14Qiziriq22−424

The competition's standings before kick-off.