Neftchi v Lokomotiv

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Neftchi win at 61%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Neftchi 61% before kick-off, 61% now. 0–0 · 61–21–18
3. 1′KICK-OFF Neftchi v Lokomotiv
4. 11′We said Neftchi at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–1 · 34–25–41
5. 11′⚽ GOAL · 11' Neftchi 0–1 Lokomotiv
6. 11′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 11' Neftchi win: 61% at kick-off, 34% now
7. 11′THE CALL SWINGS · 11' Lokomotiv win is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Neftchi win 59%)
8. 12′Lokomotiv find the net on 11′. 0–1. 0–1 · 33–25–42
9. 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 18' Neftchi win: 61% at kick-off, 31% now
10. 24′We said Neftchi at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–1 · 29–26–45
11. 25′We said Neftchi at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 12%. 0–2 · 12–17–72
12. 25′⚽ GOAL · 25' Neftchi 0–2 Lokomotiv
13. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 25' Neftchi win: 61% at kick-off, 12% now
14. 26′A goal for Lokomotiv on 25′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 11–17–72
15. 26′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 26' Neftchi win: 61% at kick-off, 11% now
16. 32′We said Neftchi at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–2 · 9–16–75
17. 34′Lokomotiv score on 33′ to make it 0–3. 0–3 · 3–6–91
18. 34′We said Neftchi at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 3%. 0–3 · 3–6–91
19. 34′⚽ GOAL · 33' Neftchi 0–3 Lokomotiv
20. 36′Neftchi find the net on 36′. 1–3. 1–3 · 8–15–76
21. 36′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.0 across ninety minutes. 1–3 · 8–15–76
22. 36′⚽ GOAL · 36' Neftchi 1–3 Lokomotiv
23. 44′A goal for Lokomotiv on 43′. 1–3 · 6–14–80
24. 44′5 goals already, more than the 3.0 we expected for the whole match. 1–4 · 2–5–94
25. 44′⚽ GOAL · 43' Neftchi 1–4 Lokomotiv
26. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Neftchi win: 61% at kick-off, 1% now
27. 45′HALF-TIME Neftchi 2–4 Lokomotiv
28. 45′SECOND HALF Neftchi 2–4 Lokomotiv
29. 48′Neftchi score on 45′ to make it 2–4. 2–4 · 5–13–82
30. 48′⚽ GOAL · 45+3' Neftchi 2–4 Lokomotiv
31. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 48' Neftchi win: 61% at kick-off, 5% now
32. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Neftchi · On: F. Sayfiev · Off: I. Yuldoshev
33. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Neftchi · On: Z. Marusic · Off: S. Perica
34. 49′That is 6, and we only asked for 3.0 across ninety minutes. 2–4 · 5–12–83
35. 49′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Neftchi · On: A. Odilov · Off: K. Giyosov
36. 58′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Lokomotiv · On: T. Abdukholikov · Off: S. Shodiboev
37. 64′🟨 YELLOW · 63' Neftchi
38. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Neftchi win: 61% at kick-off, 1% now
39. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Lokomotiv · On: S. Nurulloev · Off: B. Tupliev
40. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Neftchi · On: A. Jumaev · Off: A. Ismoilov
41. 69′🟨 YELLOW · 69' Neftchi
42. 74′🟨 YELLOW · 74' Lokomotiv
43. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Lokomotiv · On: M. Reimov · Off: D. Turopov
44. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Neftchi · On: V. Jovovic · Off: I. Alibaev
45. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Lokomotiv · On: S. Poyonov · Off: J. Yakhshiboev
46. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Lokomotiv · On: A. Yuldashev · Off: S. Mirzaev
47. 90′2–4 at the end. Our 61% on Neftchi misses, and the record keeps it. 2–4 · 0–0–100
48. 92′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' Neftchi
49. 93′🟨 YELLOW · 90+3' Lokomotiv
50. 96′🟨 YELLOW · 90+5' Neftchi
51. FTFULL TIME Neftchi 2–4 Lokomotiv
52. FTNeftchi 2–4 Lokomotiv · Neftchi win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.