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Spokane Velocity v Chattanooga Red Wolves
Spokane Velocity
Chattanooga Red WolvesUSL League One · SUN 18 OCT · One Spokane Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Spokane Velocity win at 47%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Spokane Velocity was 47% before kick-off and our model makes it 47% now. 0–0 · 47–25–29
- 1′KICK-OFF Spokane Velocity v Chattanooga Red Wolves
- 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Spokane Velocity win: 47% at kick-off, 37% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Spokane Velocity 0–0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
- 48′SECOND HALF Spokane Velocity 0–0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
- 50′We said Spokane Velocity at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 35%. 0–0 · 35–40–24
- 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Spokane Velocity win 35%)
- 55′We said Spokane Velocity at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 33%. 0–0 · 33–44–23
- 55′We expected about 2.8 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 33–44–23
- 65′We said Spokane Velocity at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 28%. 0–0 · 28–53–20
- 65′🟨 YELLOW · 63' J. Vaughan · Chattanooga Red Wolves
- 65′🟨 YELLOW · 63' M. Mensah · Spokane Velocity
- 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Spokane Velocity win: 47% at kick-off, 27% now
- 67′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Chattanooga Red Wolves · On: O. Tapia · Off: M. Bentley
- 67′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Spokane Velocity · On: M. Alexandre · Off: N. Brett
- 67′🟨 YELLOW · 67' L. Gil · Spokane Velocity
- 68′🟨 YELLOW · 67' L. Veidman · Spokane Velocity
- 70′We said Spokane Velocity at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–58–17
- 76′We said Spokane Velocity at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–67–14
- 77′🟨 YELLOW · 77' D. Waldeck · Spokane Velocity
- 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Spokane Velocity win: 47% at kick-off, 17% now
- 79′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Spokane Velocity · On: N. Vinyals · Off: L. Gil
- 81′We said Spokane Velocity at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 0–0 · 13–77–10
- 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Chattanooga Red Wolves · On: T. Adewole · Off: C. Engmann
- 85′We said Spokane Velocity at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–85–7
- 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Spokane Velocity win: 47% at kick-off, 7% now
- 91′Spokane Velocity ahead on 90′ through N. Vinyals. 1–0. 1–0 · 97–3–0
- 91′⚽ GOAL · 90' Spokane Velocity 1–0 Chattanooga Red Wolves · N. Vinyals
- 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+1' Spokane Velocity win: 47% at kick-off, 97% now
- 91′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+1' Spokane Velocity win is now our likeliest result at 97% (was Draw 3%)
- 92′We published Spokane Velocity at 47%. Our model now makes it 97%. 1–0 · 97–3–0
- 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+2' Spokane Velocity win: 47% at kick-off, 97% now
- FTFULL TIME Spokane Velocity 1–0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
- FTSpokane Velocity 1–0 Chattanooga Red Wolves · Spokane Velocity win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Spokane Velocity are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Spokane Velocity 47%, draw 25%, Chattanooga Red Wolves 29%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 56%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Spokane Velocity win47%
Chattanooga Red Wolves win29%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 02:00
RoundGroup stage
VenueOne Spokane Stadium
Match timeline
All events
Spokane VelocityMIN
Chattanooga Red WolvesEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Spokane Velocity
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Spokane Velocity
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Last match: 15 Oct · USL League One
Last match: 8 Oct · USL League One
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Spokane Velocity
Formation not confirmed
1 S. Lewis
13 L. Opara
12 C. Miller
3 N. Spielman
33 M. Mensah
77 A. Lewis
34 A. Elmasnaouy
11 S. John-Brown
10 L. Gil
18 D. Waldeck
9 N. Brett
Coach · Leigh Veidman
Substitutes
23 · C. Merancio
5 · G. Margvelashvili
4 · S. Fitch
7 · J. Gallardo
8 · N. Vinyals
42 · B. Meredith
17 · M. Alexandre
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Formation not confirmed
1 J. Smith
11 J. Ramos
40 C. Engmann
33 J. Ayimbila
30 A. Lombardi
4 J. Vaughan
7 O. Hernandez
14 P. Hernandez
35 A. Kelly-Rosales
23 Y. Lelin
10 M. Bentley
Coach · Scott MacKenzie
Substitutes
12 · R. Jerez
22 · E. Kinzner
2 · T. Adewole
21 · M. Acosta
17 · O. Tapia
47 · R. Binns
52 · J. Hallenberger
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Spokane Velocity
Formation not confirmed
1 S. Lewis
13 L. Opara
12 C. Miller
3 N. Spielman
33 M. Mensah
77 A. Lewis
34 A. Elmasnaouy
11 S. John-Brown
10 L. Gil
18 D. Waldeck
9 N. Brett
Coach · Leigh Veidman
Substitutes
23 · C. Merancio
5 · G. Margvelashvili
4 · S. Fitch
7 · J. Gallardo
8 · N. Vinyals
42 · B. Meredith
17 · M. Alexandre
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Formation not confirmed
1 J. Smith
11 J. Ramos
40 C. Engmann
33 J. Ayimbila
30 A. Lombardi
4 J. Vaughan
7 O. Hernandez
14 P. Hernandez
35 A. Kelly-Rosales
23 Y. Lelin
10 M. Bentley
Coach · Scott MacKenzie
Substitutes
12 · R. Jerez
22 · E. Kinzner
2 · T. Adewole
21 · M. Acosta
17 · O. Tapia
47 · R. Binns
52 · J. Hallenberger
We make Spokane Velocity a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 49%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.6–1.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 49% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spokane Velocity win | 47% | 49% | −2 |
| Draw | 25% | 26% | −1 |
| Chattanooga Red Wolves win | 29% | 25% | +4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 53% | +1 |
| Both teams to score | 56% | 56% | 0 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 76% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 32% | 0 |
| Spokane Velocity or draw | 71% | 75% | −4 |
| Spokane Velocity clean sheet | 30% | – | – |
| Chattanooga Red Wolves clean sheet | 20% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
5 meetings since 2024Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in USL League One this season · since 16 Sept
SPOKANE VELOCITY
CHATTANOOGA RED WOLVES
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 30 | +28 | 63 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 30 | +21 | 61 |
| 3 | One Knoxville | 32 | +16 | 54 |
| 4 | Forward Madison | 30 | +22 | 52 |
| 5 | Boise | 30 | +7 | 52 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 29 | +6 | 50 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | +7 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 30 | +9 | 45 |
| 9 | Naples | 30 | −9 | 40 |
| 10 | Westchester SC | 30 | +3 | 36 |
| 11 | Sarasota Paradise | 29 | −3 | 36 |
| 12 | Corpus Christi | 30 | −11 | 36 |
| 13 | Alta | 30 | −7 | 33 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 30 | −11 | 31 |
| 15 | Greenville Triumph | 30 | −21 | 27 |
| 16 | NY Cosmos | 30 | −26 | 25 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 30 | −31 | 23 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Charlotte Independence
Union Omaha
One Knoxville
Forward Madison
Boise
Fort Wayne
Naples
Westchester SC
Sarasota Paradise
Corpus Christi
Alta
Portland Hearts of Pine
Greenville Triumph
NY Cosmos
Richmond Kickers