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Sarasota Paradise v Westchester SC
Sarasota Paradise
Westchester SCUSL League One · SUN 25 OCT · Premier Sports Campus
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Sarasota Paradise win at 50%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Sarasota Paradise was 50% before kick-off and our model makes it 50% now. 0–0 · 50–22–28
- 1′KICK-OFF Sarasota Paradise v Westchester SC
- 12′We published Sarasota Paradise at 50%. Our model now makes it 88%. 2–0 · 88–8–4
- 13′🟨 YELLOW · 12' D. Bouman · Westchester SC
- 18′🟨 YELLOW · 76' G. McLaughlin · Sarasota Paradise
- 19′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Sarasota Paradise · On: J. Spengler · Off: R. Burlew
- 19′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Westchester SC · On: S. Powder · Off: C. Dickerson
- 24′We published Sarasota Paradise at 50%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–0 · 90–7–3
- 24′Westchester SC pull one back on 83′ through J. Jimenez. 2–1. 2–1 · 72–17–10
- 24′⚽ GOAL · 83' Sarasota Paradise 2–1 Westchester SC · J. Jimenez
- 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 24' Sarasota Paradise win: 50% at kick-off, 72% now
- 25′We published Sarasota Paradise at 50%. Our model now makes it 73%. 2–1 · 73–17–10
- 27′🟨 YELLOW · 86' K. Sanchez · Sarasota Paradise
- 34′🟨 YELLOW · 90+3' A. Armas · Westchester SC
- 34′🟨 YELLOW · 90+3' E. Terzaghi · Sarasota Paradise
- 35′SUBSTITUTION · 90+4' Sarasota Paradise · On: M. McGurk · Off: G. McLaughlin
- 35′SUBSTITUTION · 90+4' Sarasota Paradise · On: E. Elovaara · Off: E. Bryant
- 38′D. Burko scores for Westchester SC on 90′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 43–31–27
- 38′⚽ GOAL · 90+7' Sarasota Paradise 2–2 Westchester SC · D. Burko
- 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Sarasota Paradise win: 50% at kick-off, 43% now
- 39′4 goals already, more than the 3.4 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 42–31–26
- 40′🟨 YELLOW · 90+8' S. Powder · Westchester SC
- 41′🟨 YELLOW · 90+10' C. O'Dwyer · Sarasota Paradise
- 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Sarasota Paradise win: 50% at kick-off, 40% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Sarasota Paradise 0–0 Westchester SC
- 52′We said Sarasota Paradise at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 38%. 0–0 · 38–38–25
- 55′We expected about 3.4 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 37–40–24
- 57′THE CALL SWINGS · 57' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Sarasota Paradise win 38%)
- 60′We said Sarasota Paradise at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–43–23
- 63′J. Bolanos scores for Sarasota Paradise on 61′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 78–17–4
- 63′We published Sarasota Paradise at 50%. Our model now makes it 78%. 1–0 · 78–17–4
- 63′⚽ GOAL · 61' Sarasota Paradise 1–0 Westchester SC · J. Bolanos
- 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 63' Sarasota Paradise win: 50% at kick-off, 78% now
- 63′THE CALL SWINGS · 63' Sarasota Paradise win is now our likeliest result at 78% (was Draw 45%)
- 63′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Westchester SC · On: A. Armas · Off: D. Bouman
- 63′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Westchester SC · On: J. Jimenez · Off: K. Blommestijn
- 63′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Sarasota Paradise · On: M. Cence · Off: J. Bolanos
- 64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Sarasota Paradise · On: E. Terzaghi · Off: D. Brulinski
- 64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Westchester SC · On: P. Elias · Off: K. Evans
- 67′67′: E. Terzaghi on the scoresheet for Sarasota Paradise, making it 2–0. 2–0 · 97–3–0
- 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 67' Sarasota Paradise win: 50% at kick-off, 80% now
- 67′⚽ GOAL · 67' Sarasota Paradise 2–0 Westchester SC · E. Terzaghi
- 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 67' Sarasota Paradise win: 50% at kick-off, 97% now
- 68′We published Sarasota Paradise at 50%. Our model now makes it 97%. 2–0 · 97–3–0
- 70′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Westchester SC · On: B. Pierre · Off: T. Timchenko
- FTFULL TIME Sarasota Paradise 2–2 Westchester SC
- FTSarasota Paradise 2–2 Westchester SC · Sarasota Paradise win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Sarasota Paradise are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Sarasota Paradise 50%, draw 22%, Westchester SC 28%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 65%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
Sarasota Paradise win50%
Westchester SC win28%Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 00:30
RoundGroup stage
VenuePremier Sports Campus
Match timeline
All events
Sarasota ParadiseMIN
Westchester SCEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Sarasota Paradise
Westchester SC
Last match: 21 Oct · USL League One
Last match: 18 Oct · USL League One
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Sarasota Paradise a 50% chance to win. The market has them at 53%. We are 3 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.0–1.4.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 53% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sarasota Paradise win | 50% | 53% | −3 |
| Draw | 22% | 23% | −1 |
| Westchester SC win | 28% | 24% | +4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 65% | 0 |
| Both teams to score | 65% | 65% | 0 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 83% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44% | 48% | −4 |
| Sarasota Paradise or draw | 72% | 76% | −4 |
| Sarasota Paradise clean sheet | 24% | – | – |
| Westchester SC clean sheet | 14% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2025Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in USL League One this season · since 16 Sept
SARASOTA PARADISE
WESTCHESTER SC
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 31 | +31 | 66 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 31 | +20 | 61 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 31 | +24 | 55 |
| 4 | Boise | 31 | +8 | 55 |
| 5 | Spokane Velocity | 31 | +7 | 54 |
| 6 | One Knoxville | 32 | +16 | 54 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 31 | +6 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 31 | +7 | 45 |
| 9 | Naples | 31 | −8 | 43 |
| 10 | Westchester SC | 31 | +4 | 39 |
| 11 | Sarasota Paradise | 31 | −2 | 39 |
| 12 | Corpus Christi | 31 | −15 | 36 |
| 13 | Alta | 31 | −8 | 33 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 31 | −13 | 31 |
| 15 | Greenville Triumph | 31 | −24 | 27 |
| 16 | NY Cosmos | 31 | −26 | 26 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 31 | −27 | 26 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Charlotte Independence
Union Omaha
Forward Madison
Boise
Spokane Velocity
One Knoxville
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Fort Wayne
Naples
Corpus Christi
Alta
Portland Hearts of Pine
Greenville Triumph
NY Cosmos
Richmond Kickers