Naples v Spokane Velocity

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Naples win at 41%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Naples was 41% before kick-off and our model makes it 41% now. 0–0 · 41–27–32
3. 1′KICK-OFF Naples v Spokane Velocity
4. 7′🟨 YELLOW · 7' L. Mastrantonio · Naples
5. 32′🟨 YELLOW · 31' M. Alexandre · Spokane Velocity
6. 40′🟨 YELLOW · 39' L. Opara · Spokane Velocity
7. 41′🟨 YELLOW · 41' J. Cisneros · Naples
8. 42′THE CALL SWINGS · 42' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Naples win 36%)
9. 45′HALF-TIME Naples 0–0 Spokane Velocity
10. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Naples win: 41% at kick-off, 31% now
11. 55′We said Naples at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–46–24
12. 55′We expected about 2.6 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 29–46–24
13. 56′SUBSTITUTION · 56' Naples · On: A. Ferrin · Off: C. Garcia
14. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Spokane Velocity · On: A. Lewis · Off: L. Gil
15. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Spokane Velocity · On: N. Brett · Off: J. Gallardo
16. 65′We said Naples at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–55–20
17. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Naples win: 41% at kick-off, 21% now
18. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Naples · On: J. Osorio · Off: T. Collins
19. 73′We said Naples at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–65–16
20. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Spokane Velocity · On: B. Meredith · Off: A. Elmasnaouy
21. 79′We said Naples at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–75–12
22. 81′🟨 YELLOW · 81' J. Osorio · Naples
23. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Naples win: 41% at kick-off, 11% now
24. 83′We said Naples at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–83–8
25. 84′🟨 YELLOW · 84' C. Miller · Spokane Velocity
26. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Naples · On: N. Likulia · Off: L. Mastrantonio
27. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Naples · On: A. Mesias · Off: G. Miglietti
28. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Spokane Velocity · On: G. Margvelashvili · Off: M. Alexandre
29. 90′We said Naples at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–92–4
30. 94′A. Ferrin scores for Naples on 90′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 99–1–0
31. 94′⚽ GOAL · 90+4' Naples 1–0 Spokane Velocity · A. Ferrin
32. 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+4' Naples win: 41% at kick-off, 99% now
33. 94′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+4' Naples win is now our likeliest result at 99% (was Draw 97%)
34. 95′We published Naples at 41%. Our model now makes it 99%. 1–0 · 99–1–0
35. FTFULL TIME Naples 1–0 Spokane Velocity
36. FTNaples 1–0 Spokane Velocity · Naples win: right · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.