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Greenville Triumph v Spokane Velocity
Greenville Triumph
Spokane VelocityUSL League One · THU 15 OCT · Paladin Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Spokane Velocity win at 37%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Greenville Triumph 37% before kick-off, 37% now. 0–0 · 37–26–37
- 1′KICK-OFF Greenville Triumph v Spokane Velocity
- 5′⚽ GOAL · 4' Greenville Triumph 1–0 Spokane Velocity · I. Agyaakwah
- 7′4′ and it is 1–0: I. Agyaakwah on the scoresheet for Greenville Triumph. 1–0 · 63–21–16
- 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 7' Spokane Velocity win: 37% at kick-off, 16% now
- 10′We said Greenville Triumph at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 64%. 1–0 · 64–21–15
- 11′⚽ GOAL · 11' Greenville Triumph 2–0 Spokane Velocity · N. Spielman
- 13′Greenville Triumph ahead on 10′ through I. Covi. 2–0. 2–0 · 85–10–5
- 13′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 13' Spokane Velocity win: 37% at kick-off, 5% now
- 16′We said Greenville Triumph at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 86%. 2–0 · 86–10–4
- 31′⚽ GOAL · 31' Greenville Triumph 2–1 Spokane Velocity · A. Elmasnaouy
- 32′A. Elmasnaouy scores for Spokane Velocity on 31′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 67–22–11
- 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 32' Spokane Velocity win: 37% at kick-off, 11% now
- 35′We said Greenville Triumph at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 67%. 2–1 · 67–22–11
- 38′3 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 68–22–10
- 45′We said Greenville Triumph at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 2–1 · 70–22–9
- 45′HALF-TIME Greenville Triumph 2–1 Spokane Velocity
- 46′SECOND HALF Greenville Triumph 2–1 Spokane Velocity
- 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Spokane Velocity win: 37% at kick-off, 7% now
- 52′⚽ GOAL · 51' Greenville Triumph 3–1 Spokane Velocity · A. Patti
- 53′51′ and it is 3–1: A. Patti on the scoresheet for Greenville Triumph. 3–1 · 93–6–1
- 53′🟨 YELLOW · 52' T. Sims · Greenville Triumph
- 54′We said Greenville Triumph at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 93%. 3–1 · 93–5–1
- 55′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 94–5–1
- 59′We said Greenville Triumph at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 3–1 · 95–5–1
- 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Spokane Velocity · On: S. John-Brown · Off: J. Gallardo
- 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Spokane Velocity · On: N. Brett · Off: N. Vinyals
- 61′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Spokane Velocity · On: A. Lewis · Off: C. Fernandez
- 61′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Spokane Velocity · On: C. Miller · Off: I. Covi
- 63′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Spokane Velocity · On: C. Miller · Off: I. Covi
- 63′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Spokane Velocity · On: A. Lewis · Off: C. Fernandez
- 63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Greenville Triumph · On: E. Lee · Off: T. Sims
- 63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Greenville Triumph · On: D. Benton · Off: B. Larsen
- 72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Greenville Triumph 3–2 Spokane Velocity · L. Gil
- 73′Spokane Velocity pull one back on 72′ through L. Gil. 3–2. 3–2 · 82–16–2
- 73′We said Greenville Triumph at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 82%. 3–2 · 82–16–2
- 73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Greenville Triumph · On: D. Boyce · Off: R. Robles
- 75′5 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 84–15–2
- 75′🟨 YELLOW · 75' C. Miller · Spokane Velocity
- 77′D. Boyce scores for Greenville Triumph on 76′ — 4–2. 4–2 · 99–1–0
- 77′⚽ GOAL · 76' Greenville Triumph 4–2 Spokane Velocity · D. Boyce
- 78′That is 6, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 4–2 · 99–1–0
- 79′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Spokane Velocity · On: M. Mensah · Off: M. Alexandre
- 79′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Spokane Velocity · On: M. Mensah · Off: M. Alexandre
- 83′We said Greenville Triumph at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 100%. 4–2 · 100–0–0
- 86′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Greenville Triumph · On: C. Evans · Off: C. Herrera
- 86′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Greenville Triumph · On: E. White · Off: I. Agyaakwah
- 88′87′ and it is 4–3: A. Elmasnaouy on the scoresheet for Spokane Velocity. 4–3 · 95–5–0
- 88′⚽ GOAL · 87' Greenville Triumph 4–3 Spokane Velocity · A. Elmasnaouy
- 89′7 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 4–3 · 95–5–0
- 90′🟨 YELLOW · 97' A. Elmasnaouy · Spokane Velocity
- FTFULL TIME Greenville Triumph 4–3 Spokane Velocity
- FTGreenville Triumph 4–3 Spokane Velocity · Spokane Velocity win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassClose to call, with Spokane Velocity just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Greenville Triumph 37%, draw 26%, Spokane Velocity 37%. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 54%.
Pre-match prediction
Published 14 Oct 23:38 · locked at kick-off
Greenville Triumph win37%
Spokane Velocity win37%Kick-offTHU 15 OCT · 00:00
VenuePaladin Stadium
Match timeline
All events
Greenville TriumphMIN
Spokane VelocityEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Greenville Triumph
Spokane Velocity
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Greenville Triumph
Spokane Velocity
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off.
Line-ups
Greenville Triumph
Formation not confirmed
30 S. Torman
4 T. Sims
5 B. Fricke
15 A. Patti
27 M. Nour
8 C. Herrera
6 I. Agyaakwah
20 A. Villanueva
9 R. Robles
17 B. Larsen
19 A. Liadi
Coach · Joel Tyson
Substitutes
13 · A. Knight
12 · E. Lee
77 · D. Benton
18 · C. Evans
7 · D. Boyce
23 · E. White
25 · L. Castro
29 · B. Polo
Spokane Velocity
Formation not confirmed
23 C. Merancio
4 S. Fitch
20 I. Covi
3 N. Spielman
18 D. Waldeck
6 C. Fernandez
7 J. Gallardo
34 A. Elmasnaouy
8 N. Vinyals
17 M. Alexandre
10 L. Gil
Coach · Leigh Veidman
Substitutes
1 · S. Lewis
13 · L. Opara
33 · M. Mensah
12 · C. Miller
77 · A. Lewis
11 · S. John-Brown
9 · N. Brett
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Greenville Triumph
Formation not confirmed
30 S. Torman
4 T. Sims
5 B. Fricke
15 A. Patti
27 M. Nour
8 C. Herrera
6 I. Agyaakwah
20 A. Villanueva
9 R. Robles
17 B. Larsen
19 A. Liadi
Coach · Joel Tyson
Substitutes
13 · A. Knight
12 · E. Lee
77 · D. Benton
18 · C. Evans
7 · D. Boyce
23 · E. White
25 · L. Castro
29 · B. Polo
Spokane Velocity
Formation not confirmed
23 C. Merancio
4 S. Fitch
20 I. Covi
3 N. Spielman
18 D. Waldeck
6 C. Fernandez
7 J. Gallardo
34 A. Elmasnaouy
8 N. Vinyals
17 M. Alexandre
10 L. Gil
Coach · Leigh Veidman
Substitutes
1 · S. Lewis
13 · L. Opara
33 · M. Mensah
12 · C. Miller
77 · A. Lewis
11 · S. John-Brown
9 · N. Brett
We make Spokane Velocity a 37% chance to win. The market has them at 39%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.3–1.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 36%, 37% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 39% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Greenville Triumph win | 37% | 34% | +3 |
| Draw | 26% | 27% | −1 |
| Spokane Velocity win | 37% | 39% | −2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 54% | −4 |
| Both teams to score | 54% | 58% | −4 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 75% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 33% | −5 |
| Greenville Triumph or draw | 63% | 61% | +2 |
| Greenville Triumph clean sheet | 26% | – | – |
| Spokane Velocity clean sheet | 27% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
5 meetings since 2024Form · last six in USL League One
GREENVILLE TRIUMPH
SPOKANE VELOCITY
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 30 | 28 | 63 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 30 | 21 | 61 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 30 | 22 | 52 |
| 4 | Boise | 30 | 7 | 52 |
| 5 | One Knoxville | 31 | 13 | 51 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 28 | 7 | 50 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 7 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 30 | 9 | 45 |
| 9 | Naples | 30 | -9 | 40 |
| 10 | Westchester SC | 30 | 3 | 36 |
| 11 | Sarasota Paradise | 29 | -3 | 36 |
| 12 | Corpus Christi | 30 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 | Alta | 30 | -7 | 33 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 30 | -11 | 31 |
| 15 | NY Cosmos | 29 | -23 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 29 | -22 | 24 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 30 | -31 | 23 |
The competition's standings.
Charlotte Independence
Union Omaha
Forward Madison
Boise
One Knoxville
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Fort Wayne
Naples
Westchester SC
Sarasota Paradise
Corpus Christi
Alta
Portland Hearts of Pine
NY Cosmos
Richmond Kickers