Fort Wayne v Sarasota Paradise

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Fort Wayne win at 50%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Fort Wayne 50% before kick-off, 50% now. 0–0 · 50–24–26
3. 1′KICK-OFF Fort Wayne v Sarasota Paradise
4. 16′M. Rempel scores for Fort Wayne on 15′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 74–17–10
5. 16′⚽ GOAL · 15' Fort Wayne 1–0 Sarasota Paradise · M. Rempel
6. 16′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 16' Fort Wayne win: 50% at kick-off, 74% now
7. 17′We said Fort Wayne at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 74%. 1–0 · 74–17–9
8. 27′25′: J. Bolanos on the scoresheet for Sarasota Paradise, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 45–30–26
9. 27′⚽ GOAL · 25' Fort Wayne 1–1 Sarasota Paradise · J. Bolanos
10. 27′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 27' Fort Wayne win: 50% at kick-off, 45% now
11. 28′🟨 YELLOW · 28' J. Jordan · Fort Wayne
12. 37′🟨 YELLOW · 28' A. Sutton · Sarasota Paradise
13. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Fort Wayne win: 50% at kick-off, 40% now
14. 45′Sarasota Paradise ahead on 45′ through A. Rosa. 1–2. 1–2 · 14–26–60
15. 45′We said Fort Wayne at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–2 · 14–26–60
16. 45′3 goals already, more than the 3.0 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 14–26–60
17. 45′⚽ GOAL · 45+1' Fort Wayne 1–2 Sarasota Paradise · A. Rosa
18. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Fort Wayne win: 50% at kick-off, 14% now
19. 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Sarasota Paradise win is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Fort Wayne win 14%)
20. 45′HALF-TIME Fort Wayne 1–2 Sarasota Paradise
21. 46′SECOND HALF Fort Wayne 1–2 Sarasota Paradise
22. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Fort Wayne win: 50% at kick-off, 10% now
23. 58′We said Fort Wayne at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–2 · 9–25–66
24. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Sarasota Paradise · On: R. Burlew · Off: J. Bolanos
25. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Sarasota Paradise · On: E. Terzaghi · Off: A. Rodriguez
26. 71′We said Fort Wayne at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–2 · 4–21–75
27. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Sarasota Paradise · On: G. McLaughlin · Off: S. Roed
28. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Fort Wayne · On: L. Neidlinger · Off: J. Jordan
29. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Fort Wayne · On: J. Thomas · Off: C. Awoudor
30. 84′🟨 YELLOW · 82' J. Armas · Fort Wayne
31. 86′🟨 YELLOW · 85' M. Rempel · Fort Wayne
32. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Fort Wayne · On: K. Lacey · Off: M. Rempel
33. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Fort Wayne · On: J. Smith · Off: K. Gafar
34. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Fort Wayne · On: M. Jiana · Off: E. Nieto
35. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Fort Wayne win: 50% at kick-off, under 1% now
36. 87′🟨 YELLOW · 87' E. Terzaghi · Sarasota Paradise
37. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Sarasota Paradise · On: R. Valentine · Off: R. Gall
38. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Sarasota Paradise · On: C. O'Dwyer · Off: E. Bryant
39. 95′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Sarasota Paradise · On: Reid Valentine · Off: Romain Gall Corrected
40. 98′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.0 across ninety minutes. 1–3 · 0–0–100
41. 98′⚽ GOAL · 90+8' Fort Wayne 1–3 Sarasota Paradise
42. 98′🟨 YELLOW · 90+8' Tiago Alexandre Soares Dias · Fort Wayne
43. FTFULL TIME Fort Wayne 1–3 Sarasota Paradise
44. FTFort Wayne 1–3 Sarasota Paradise · Fort Wayne win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.