Sporting JAX v Louisville City

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Louisville City win at 67%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Louisville City 67% before kick-off, 67% now. 0–0 · 16–17–67
3. 1′KICK-OFF Sporting JAX v Louisville City
4. 7′🟨 YELLOW · 6' B. Niang · Louisville City
5. 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Louisville City win: 67% at kick-off, 57% now
6. 41′We said Louisville City at 67%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 55%. 0–0 · 18–27–55
7. 43′🟨 YELLOW · 42' M. Akale · Louisville City
8. 44′We said Louisville City at 67%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 54%. 0–0 · 18–28–54
9. 45′HALF-TIME Sporting JAX 0–0 Louisville City
10. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Louisville City · On: Z. Duncan · Off: B. Niang
11. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Louisville City · On: Q. Huerman · Off: M. Akale
12. 46′SECOND HALF Sporting JAX 0–0 Louisville City
13. 52′🟨 YELLOW · 51' A. Gomez · Sporting JAX
14. 54′We said Louisville City at 67%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 17–34–49
15. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 3.9 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 17–34–49
16. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Louisville City win: 67% at kick-off, 47% now
17. 58′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Louisville City · On: J. Morris · Off: A. Dia
18. 61′We said Louisville City at 67%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 17–39–44
19. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Sporting JAX · On: Jean Mota · Off: R. Somersall
20. 67′We said Louisville City at 67%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 15–45–39
21. 67′THE CALL SWINGS · 67' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Louisville City win 43%)
22. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Louisville City win: 67% at kick-off, 37% now
23. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Sporting JAX · On: E. Jaaskelainen · Off: A. Luckhurst
24. 73′We said Louisville City at 67%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 33%. 0–0 · 14–53–33
25. 76′We said Louisville City at 67%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 12–59–29
26. 77′Louisville City ahead on 77′ through K. Lambert. 0–1. 0–1 · 1–11–88
27. 77′⚽ GOAL · 77' Sporting JAX 0–1 Louisville City · K. Lambert
28. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Louisville City win: 67% at kick-off, 88% now
29. 77′THE CALL SWINGS · 77' Louisville City win is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Draw 61%)
30. 78′We said Louisville City at 67% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 89%. 0–1 · 1–10–89
31. 80′We said Louisville City at 67% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 0–1 · 1–9–90
32. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Sporting JAX · On: K. Sadlier · Off: A. Al Qaq
33. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Sporting JAX · On: W. Kuzain · Off: T. Roberts
34. 85′Z. Duncan scores for Louisville City on 85′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 0–0–100
35. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Louisville City · On: S. Gleadle · Off: C. Donovan
36. 85′⚽ GOAL · 85' Sporting JAX 0–2 Louisville City · Z. Duncan
37. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 85' Louisville City win: 67% at kick-off, over 99% now
38. 86′We said Louisville City at 67% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 0–2 · 0–0–100
39. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Louisville City · On: S. Totsch · Off: E. Perez
40. 91′🟨 YELLOW · 90+1' J. Morris · Louisville City
41. 93′🟨 YELLOW · 90+3' R. Edwards · Sporting JAX
42. FTFULL TIME Sporting JAX 0–2 Louisville City
43. FTSporting JAX 0–2 Louisville City · Louisville City win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.