Birmingham Legion v Loudoun United

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Birmingham Legion win at 47%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Birmingham Legion was 47% before kick-off and our model makes it 47% now. 0–0 · 47–24–29
3. 1′KICK-OFF Birmingham Legion v Loudoun United
4. 45′HALF-TIME Birmingham Legion 0–0 Loudoun United
5. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+1' Birmingham Legion win: 47% at kick-off, 37% now
6. 46′SECOND HALF Birmingham Legion 0–0 Loudoun United
7. 49′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Birmingham Legion · On: S. Tregarthen · Off: N. Brown
8. 52′We said Birmingham Legion at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 35%. 0–0 · 35–41–24
9. 52′THE CALL SWINGS · 52' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Birmingham Legion win 35%)
10. 54′We said Birmingham Legion at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–42–24
11. 55′We expected about 3.0 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 34–43–24
12. 59′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Loudoun United · On: L. Butts · Off: E. Davis III
13. 59′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Loudoun United · On: A. O'Connor · Off: L. Piras
14. 64′We said Birmingham Legion at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–50–21
15. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Birmingham Legion · On: R. Williams · Off: P. Vassell
16. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Birmingham Legion · On: T. Pasher · Off: R. Damus
17. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Birmingham Legion win: 47% at kick-off, 27% now
18. 71′We said Birmingham Legion at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–59–17
19. 72′🟨 YELLOW · 71' S. McIllhatton · Birmingham Legion
20. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Birmingham Legion · On: S. Saucedo · Off: S. Shashoua
21. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Loudoun United · On: G. Lomtadze · Off: P. Santos
22. 77′We said Birmingham Legion at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 18%. 0–0 · 18–68–14
23. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Birmingham Legion win: 47% at kick-off, 17% now
24. 82′We said Birmingham Legion at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 0–0 · 13–78–9
25. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Loudoun United · On: P. Niyongabire · Off: A. Aboukoura
26. 85′We said Birmingham Legion at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–84–7
27. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' Birmingham Legion win: 47% at kick-off, 7% now
28. 91′We said Birmingham Legion at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–92–3
29. 92′SUBSTITUTION · 90+1' Birmingham Legion · On: S. Ngoma · Off: G. Diarbian
30. FTFULL TIME Birmingham Legion 0–0 Loudoun United
31. FTBirmingham Legion 0–0 Loudoun United · Birmingham Legion win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.