Columbus Crew v St. Louis City

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Columbus Crew win at 50%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Columbus Crew was 50% before kick-off and our model makes it 49% now. 0–0 · 49–24–27
3. 1′KICK-OFF Columbus Crew v St. Louis City
4. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Columbus Crew win: 50% at kick-off, 40% now
5. 45′HALF-TIME Columbus Crew 0–0 St. Louis City
6. 45′SECOND HALF Columbus Crew 0–0 St. Louis City
7. 51′We said Columbus Crew at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 38%. 0–0 · 38–38–24
8. 55′We expected about 3.3 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 40–35–25
9. 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Columbus Crew win 38%)
10. 59′We said Columbus Crew at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–44–22
11. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Columbus Crew win: 50% at kick-off, 30% now
12. 67′We said Columbus Crew at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–51–19
13. 73′We said Columbus Crew at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–59–16
14. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Columbus Crew · On: G. Tapia · Off: J. Martinez
15. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Columbus Crew win: 50% at kick-off, 20% now
16. 78′We said Columbus Crew at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–68–13
17. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 78' St. Louis City · On: D. Downs · Off: S. Jeong
18. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 78' St. Louis City · On: B. Lundt · Off: R. Burki
19. 83′We said Columbus Crew at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 12%. 0–0 · 12–79–9
20. 83′🟨 YELLOW · 83' Columbus Crew
21. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Columbus Crew · On: S. Bangoura · Off: D. Chambost
22. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Columbus Crew · On: B. Lennon · Off: M. Farsi
23. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' Columbus Crew win: 50% at kick-off, 10% now
24. 86′We said Columbus Crew at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–84–7
25. 90′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. For the result after extra time our model now makes the draw likeliest at 44%. 0–0 · 34–44–22
26. 92′We said Columbus Crew at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–93–3
27. 101′🟨 YELLOW · 90+11' St. Louis City
28. 102′SUBSTITUTION · 90+1' Columbus Crew · On: E. Bailly · Off: T. Habroune
29. 103′🟨 YELLOW · 90+12' St. Louis City
30. 104′🟨 YELLOW · 104' St. Louis City
31. 118′🟨 YELLOW · 118' Columbus Crew
32. 118′SUBSTITUTION · 105' St. Louis City · On: T. Ostrak · Off: S. Becher
33. 118′SUBSTITUTION · 113' Columbus Crew · On: A. Herrera · Off: A. Zaroury
34. 120′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. The shoot-out decides who goes through - our model does not price it. 0–0 · 0–100–0
35. 154′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. For the result after extra time our model now makes the draw likeliest at 96%. 0–0 · 2–96–1
36. FTFULL TIME Columbus Crew 0–0 St. Louis City
37. FTColumbus Crew 0–0 St. Louis City after 90 minutes, as graded · Columbus Crew win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.