Bay FC W v Portland Thorns W

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Portland Thorns W win at 46%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Portland Thorns W was 46% before kick-off and our model makes it 46% now. 0–0 · 31–23–46
3. 1′KICK-OFF Bay FC W v Portland Thorns W
4. 10′Portland Thorns W find the net on 10′. 0–1. 0–1 · 12–19–69
5. 10′⚽ GOAL · 10' Bay FC W 0–1 Portland Thorns W
6. 10′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 10' Portland Thorns W win: 46% at kick-off, 69% now
7. 11′We published Portland Thorns W at 46%. Our model now makes it 69%. 0–1 · 12–19–69
8. 15′We published Portland Thorns W at 46%. Our model now makes it 70%. 0–1 · 11–19–70
9. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.8 we expected. 0–1 · 9–20–71
10. 34′Caroline Conti scores for Bay FC W on 33′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 28–32–39
11. 34′⚽ GOAL · 33' Bay FC W 1–1 Portland Thorns W · Caroline Conti
12. 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 34' Portland Thorns W win: 46% at kick-off, 39% now
13. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Portland Thorns W win: 46% at kick-off, 36% now
14. 45′HALF-TIME Bay FC W 1–1 Portland Thorns W
15. 46′🟨 YELLOW · 45' Caroline Conti · Bay FC W
16. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Bay FC W · On: Aldana Cometti · Off: joelle anderson
17. 46′SECOND HALF Bay FC W 1–1 Portland Thorns W
18. 49′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+4' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Portland Thorns W win 35%)
19. 50′We said Portland Thorns W at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 25–40–34
20. 57′SUBSTITUTION · 56' Portland Thorns W · On: Marie·Muller · Off: Mary Alice Vignola
21. 57′SUBSTITUTION · 56' Portland Thorns W · On: Shae Harvey · Off: Morgan Weaver
22. 62′We said Portland Thorns W at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 22–50–29
23. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Bay FC W · On: Cristiana Girelli · Off: Agostina Holzheier
24. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Portland Thorns W win: 46% at kick-off, 26% now
25. 68′We said Portland Thorns W at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–1 · 75–20–4
26. 68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Bay FC W 2–1 Portland Thorns W
27. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Portland Thorns W win: 46% at kick-off, 4% now
28. 68′THE CALL SWINGS · 68' Bay FC W win is now our likeliest result at 75% (was Draw 20%)
29. 69′67′: Kennedy Fuller on the scoresheet for Bay FC W, making it 2–1. 2–1 · 76–20–4
30. 69′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 76–20–4
31. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Portland Thorns W · On: Isabella Obaze · Off: Carolyn Lisette Calzada
32. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Portland Thorns W · On: Cassandra Bogere · Off: Nina Nijstad
33. 76′🟨 YELLOW · 74' Reyna René Reyes Stubblefield · Portland Thorns W
34. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Portland Thorns W · On: Julie Dufour · Off: Reilyn Turner
35. 87′We said Portland Thorns W at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 7%. 2–2 · 6–87–7
36. 87′⚽ GOAL · 87' Bay FC W 2–2 Portland Thorns W
37. 87′THE CALL SWINGS · 87' Draw is now our likeliest result at 87% (was Bay FC W win 6%)
38. 88′Portland Thorns W level it on 86′ through caiya hanks. 2–2. 2–2 · 5–89–6
39. 89′4 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 4–90–6
40. 91′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Bay FC W · On: Maddie Moreau · Off: Sydney Collins
41. 91′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Bay FC W · On: Kelli Hubly · Off: Caroline Conti
42. FTFULL TIME Bay FC W 2–2 Portland Thorns W
43. FTBay FC W 2–2 Portland Thorns W · Portland Thorns W win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 0–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.