Ventura County v Minnesota United II

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Ventura County win at 50%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Ventura County was 50% before kick-off and our model makes it 50% now. 0–0 · 50–22–28
3. 1′KICK-OFF Ventura County v Minnesota United II
4. 21′Ventura County score on 21′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 72–17–11
5. 21′⚽ GOAL · 21' Ventura County 1–0 Minnesota United II
6. 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 21' Ventura County win: 50% at kick-off, 72% now
7. 22′We published Ventura County at 50%. Our model now makes it 72%. 1–0 · 72–17–11
8. 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.4 we expected. 1–0 · 73–17–10
9. 35′Ventura County find the net on 35′. 2–0. 2–0 · 91–7–2
10. 35′⚽ GOAL · 35' Ventura County 2–0 Minnesota United II
11. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 35' Ventura County win: 50% at kick-off, 91% now
12. 36′We published Ventura County at 50%. Our model now makes it 91%. 2–0 · 91–7–2
13. 41′A goal for Minnesota United II on 41′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 74–18–8
14. 41′⚽ GOAL · 41' Ventura County 2–1 Minnesota United II
15. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Ventura County win: 50% at kick-off, 74% now
16. 44′Minnesota United II score on 44′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 41–33–26
17. 44′⚽ GOAL · 44' Ventura County 2–2 Minnesota United II
18. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Ventura County win: 50% at kick-off, 41% now
19. 45′4 goals already, more than the 3.4 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 41–33–26
20. 45′HALF-TIME Ventura County 2–2 Minnesota United II
21. 46′SECOND HALF Ventura County 2–2 Minnesota United II
22. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+2' Ventura County win: 50% at kick-off, 40% now
23. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Minnesota United II · On: J. Adebayo-Smith · Off: J. Friedman
24. 52′We said Ventura County at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 38%. 2–2 · 38–37–25
25. 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Ventura County win 36%)
26. 60′We said Ventura County at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 2–2 · 34–43–23
27. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Ventura County win: 50% at kick-off, 30% now
28. 69′We said Ventura County at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 29–52–19
29. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Minnesota United II · On: M. Harwood · Off: L. Pechota
30. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Ventura County · On: A. Vilamitjana · Off: G. Arnold
31. 75′We said Ventura County at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 23%. 2–2 · 23–61–16
32. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Ventura County · On: J. Djieze · Off: V. Garcia
33. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Ventura County win: 50% at kick-off, 20% now
34. 79′We said Ventura County at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 18%. 2–2 · 18–69–13
35. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Minnesota United II · On: P. Tarnue · Off: S. Vigilante
36. 82′We said Ventura County at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 14–75–10
37. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Ventura County · On: P. Bank · Off: R. Dalgado
38. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Ventura County win: 50% at kick-off, 10% now
39. 87′We said Ventura County at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 9–85–6
40. 89′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Ventura County
41. 90′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. For the result after extra time our model now makes the draw likeliest at 43%. 2–2 · 34–43–23
42. 91′🟨 YELLOW · 90+1' Minnesota United II
43. 92′We said Ventura County at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–93–3
44. 97′SUBSTITUTION · 91' Minnesota United II · On: L. Hille · Off: H. Cruz
45. 97′SUBSTITUTION · 92' Ventura County · On: Pepe · Off: L. Muller
46. 111′SUBSTITUTION · 105' Minnesota United II · On: J. Farris · Off: J. Clarkson
47. 112′SUBSTITUTION · 105' Ventura County · On: A. Villatoro · Off: D. Ittycheria
48. 120′Ventura County find the net on 120′. 3–2. 3–2 · 100–0–0
49. 120′⚽ GOAL · 120' Ventura County 3–2 Minnesota United II
50. 148′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. For the result after extra time our model now makes the draw likeliest at 96%. 2–2 · 2–96–2
51. FTFULL TIME Ventura County 3–2 Minnesota United II after extra time
52. FTVentura County 2–2 Minnesota United II after 90 minutes, as graded · Ventura County win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.