Portland Timbers II v St. Louis City II

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Portland Timbers II win at 38%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Portland Timbers II 38% before kick-off, 38% now. 0–0 · 38–25–37
3. 1′KICK-OFF Portland Timbers II v St. Louis City II
4. 6′🟨 YELLOW · 6' St. Louis City II
5. 13′A goal for Portland Timbers II on 12′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 64–21–15
6. 13′We said Portland Timbers II at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 64%. 1–0 · 64–21–15
7. 13′⚽ GOAL · 12' Portland Timbers II 1–0 St. Louis City II
8. 13′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 13' Portland Timbers II win: 38% at kick-off, 64% now
9. 18′We said Portland Timbers II at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 65%. 1–0 · 65–21–15
10. 18′🟨 YELLOW · 18' St. Louis City II
11. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.9 we expected. 1–0 · 66–21–12
12. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 38' Portland Timbers II win: 38% at kick-off, 68% now
13. 45′HALF-TIME Portland Timbers II 1–0 St. Louis City II
14. 46′SECOND HALF Portland Timbers II 1–0 St. Louis City II
15. 47′We said Portland Timbers II at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 1–0 · 70–22–9
16. 56′SUBSTITUTION · 55' Portland Timbers II · On: B. VanVoorhis · Off: D. Nunez
17. 61′We said Portland Timbers II at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–20–5
18. 61′🟨 YELLOW · 61' Portland Timbers II
19. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 67' Portland Timbers II win: 38% at kick-off, 78% now
20. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Portland Timbers II · On: N. Santos · Off: C. Griffith
21. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 67' St. Louis City II · On: R. Lynch · Off: J. Barclay
22. 68′🟨 YELLOW · 68' St. Louis City II
23. 69′Portland Timbers II score on 69′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 97–3–0
24. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 67' St. Louis City II · On: E. Chavez · Off: Z. Zengue Corrected
25. 69′⚽ GOAL · 69' Portland Timbers II 2–0 St. Louis City II
26. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 69' Portland Timbers II win: 38% at kick-off, 97% now
27. 70′We said Portland Timbers II at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 97%. 2–0 · 97–3–0
28. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 73' Portland Timbers II win: 38% at kick-off, 98% now
29. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 76' St. Louis City II · On: S. Paris · Off: J. Wagoner
30. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' St. Louis City II · On: O. Jorgensen · Off: T. Reid-Brown
31. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' St. Louis City II · On: P. McDonald · Off: T. Pearce
32. 85′We said Portland Timbers II at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
33. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Portland Timbers II · On: B. Barjolo · Off: M. Kissel
34. 87′🟨 YELLOW · 86' Portland Timbers II
35. 95′Portland Timbers II have ten men and St. Louis City II ten after the red cards. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 2–0 · 100–0–0
36. 95′🟥 RED CARD · 90+4' Portland Timbers II
37. 95′🟥 RED CARD · 90+5' St. Louis City II
38. 97′Red cards for both sides: Portland Timbers II down to nine, St. Louis City II to ten. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 2–0 · 100–0–0
39. 97′🟥 RED CARD · 90+7' Portland Timbers II
40. FTFULL TIME Portland Timbers II 2–0 St. Louis City II
41. FTPortland Timbers II 2–0 St. Louis City II · Portland Timbers II win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.