Chattanooga v New York City II

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Chattanooga win at 50%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Chattanooga was 50% before kick-off and our model makes it 50% now. 0–0 · 50–22–28
3. 1′KICK-OFF Chattanooga v New York City II
4. 30′🟨 YELLOW · 29' New York City II
5. 31′A goal for Chattanooga on 31′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 73–18–9
6. 31′⚽ GOAL · 31' Chattanooga 1–0 New York City II
7. 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 31' Chattanooga win: 50% at kick-off, 73% now
8. 32′We published Chattanooga at 50%. Our model now makes it 73%. 1–0 · 73–18–9
9. 32′Goals are coming at about the 3.4 we expected. 1–0 · 73–18–9
10. 45′HALF-TIME Chattanooga 1–0 New York City II
11. 46′We published Chattanooga at 50%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–0 · 75–18–7
12. 46′SECOND HALF Chattanooga 1–0 New York City II
13. 54′New York City II score on 53′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 37–39–24
14. 54′⚽ GOAL · 53' Chattanooga 1–1 New York City II
15. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Chattanooga win: 50% at kick-off, 37% now
16. 55′We said Chattanooga at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 37%. 1–1 · 37–40–24
17. 57′THE CALL SWINGS · 57' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Chattanooga win 36%)
18. 61′We said Chattanooga at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–44–22
19. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Chattanooga win: 50% at kick-off, 30% now
20. 68′We said Chattanooga at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–52–20
21. 74′We said Chattanooga at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–60–16
22. 78′We said Chattanooga at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–67–13
23. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Chattanooga win: 50% at kick-off, 19% now
24. 83′We said Chattanooga at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 1–1 · 13–78–9
25. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' Chattanooga win: 50% at kick-off, 10% now
26. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Chattanooga · On: A. Sorenson · Off: S. Louis
27. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Chattanooga · On: A. Garcia · Off: A. Arrua
28. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 79' New York City II · On: D. Kerr · Off: C. Flax
29. 87′Chattanooga find the net on 86′. 2–1. 2–1 · 94–6–0
30. 87′⚽ GOAL · 86' Chattanooga 2–1 New York City II
31. 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 87' Chattanooga win: 50% at kick-off, 94% now
32. 87′THE CALL SWINGS · 87' Chattanooga win is now our likeliest result at 94% (was Draw 6%)
33. 88′We published Chattanooga at 50%. Our model now makes it 94%. 2–1 · 94–5–0
34. 89′We published Chattanooga at 50%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
35. 90′A goal for Chattanooga on 90′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 100–0–0
36. 90′We published Chattanooga at 50%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
37. 90′4 goals already, more than the 3.4 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 100–0–0
38. 90′⚽ GOAL · 90+7' Chattanooga 3–1 New York City II
39. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90' Chattanooga win: 50% at kick-off, over 99% now
40. FTFULL TIME Chattanooga 3–1 New York City II
41. FTChattanooga 3–1 New York City II · Chattanooga win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.