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Model 1.2

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Chattanooga v Connecticut FC

Chattanooga
21:00Upcoming
Connecticut FC

MLS Next Pro · SUN 25 OCT · Finley Stadium

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

ChattanoogaDrawConnecticut FC
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 21:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Chattanooga 50%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Chattanooga are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Chattanooga 50%, draw 22%, Connecticut FC 29%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 65%.

The AI’s read on Chattanooga v Connecticut FCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 15:31 · locked at kick-off

Chattanooga win50%
Draw22%
Connecticut FC win29%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 21:00

RoundQuarter-finals

VenueFinley Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Chattanooga

Connecticut FC

7Days since last match9

Last match: 18 Oct · MLS Next Pro

Last match: 16 Oct · MLS Next Pro

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · chattanooga winFirst published 21 Oct 15:31 · locked at kick-off
50% The market–
Us50%

We make Chattanooga a 50% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Chattanooga v Connecticut FC1.95 – 1.45
Form · last six in MLS Next Pro this season · since 23 AugW5 D0 L1 · W3 D0 L3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Chattanooga win50%––
Draw22%––
Connecticut FC win29%––
Over 2.5 goals66%––
Both teams to score65%––
Over 1.5 goals85%––
Over 3.5 goals44%––
Chattanooga or draw71%––
Chattanooga clean sheet24%––
Connecticut FC clean sheet14%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.3%
0123450 3.3 5.0 3.5 1 6.7 9.3 6.8 3.3 2 6.4 9.1 6.5 3.2 3 4.1 5.9 4.3 2.1 4 2.0 2.9 2.1 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Chattanooga down, Connecticut FC across0–5 goals a side shown (98.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026
Goals a meeting6.00
Over 2.51 of 1
Both scored1 of 1
Last meetingsCHA 4–2 CON

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in MLS Next Pro this season · since 23 Aug

CHATTANOOGA

LWWWWW1–3 · 5–2 · 2–1 · 4–1 · 1–0 · 3–1

CONNECTICUT FC

WLLLWW4–2 · 2–4 · 1–4 · 0–1 · 7–2 · 1–0