Austin II v Los Angeles FC II prediction · MLS Next Pro

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Austin IIDrawLos Angeles FC II

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 00:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Austin II 59%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Austin II are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Austin II 59%, draw 21%, Los Angeles FC II 20%. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Austin II v Los Angeles FC IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 15:31 · locked at kick-off

Austin II win59%

Draw21%

Los Angeles FC II win20%

Kick-offMON 26 OCT · 00:30

RoundQuarter-finals

VenueParmer Filed

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Austin II

Los Angeles FC II

7Days since last match8

Last match: 19 Oct · MLS Next Pro

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · austin ii winFirst published 21 Oct 15:31 · locked at kick-off

59% The market–

Us59%

We make Austin II a 59% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–1.1, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Austin II v Los Angeles FC II~~2.01 – 1.08

~~Form · last six in MLS Next Pro this season · since 24 Aug~~W5 D0 L1 · W1 D2 L3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Austin II win	59%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Los Angeles FC II win	20%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	59%	–	–
Both teams to score	57%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	81%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	37%	–	–
Austin II or draw	80%	–	–
Austin II clean sheet	34%	–	–
Los Angeles FC II clean sheet	14%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.8%

0123450 4.6 5.1 2.7 1 9.4 9.8 5.3 2 9.2 9.8 5.3 3 6.2 6.5 3.5 4 3.1 3.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Austin II down, Los Angeles FC II across0–5 goals a side shown (98.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,922 MLS Next Pro matches up to 19 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: MLS Next Pro matches have gone over 2.5 in 66.5% of games this season, across 430 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2023 in every competition we cover, 2.17 goals a meeting; 2 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Austin II at home: 1.83 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Los Angeles FC II away: 2.00 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.01 goals for Austin II, 1.08 for Los Angeles FC II. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2023

~~Goals a meeting~~2.17

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 6

~~Both scored~~3 of 6

~~Last meetings~~AUS 2–0 LOS · LOS 1–0 AUS · AUS 4–1 LOS · AUS 1–2 LOS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in MLS Next Pro this season · since 24 Aug

AUSTIN II

WLWWWW1–0 · 1–2 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 2–0 · 2–1

LOS ANGELES FC II

LLDWLD1–4 · 2–3 · 1–1 · 5–1 · 2–3 · 2–2

Austin II v Los Angeles FC II

The match pulse

AI match analysis

Pre-match prediction

Match timeline

Line-ups

Rest & schedule

Austin II

Los Angeles FC II

The game in numbers

Line-ups

Match statistics

Line-ups

What the number rests on

Head to head

Form · last six in MLS Next Pro this season · since 24 Aug