Toronto FC v Orlando City SC

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Toronto FC win at 39%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Toronto FC 39% before kick-off, 40% now. 0–0 · 40–23–37
3. 1′KICK-OFF Toronto FC v Orlando City SC
4. 26′27′ and it is 1–0: Toronto FC have scored. 1–0 · 65–21–14
5. 26′⚽ GOAL · 26' Toronto FC 1–0 Orlando City SC
6. 27′26′ and it is 1–0: Lewis Morgan on the scoresheet for Toronto FC. 1–0 · 65–21–14
7. 27′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 27' Toronto FC win: 39% at kick-off, 65% now
8. 28′We said Toronto FC at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 66%. 1–0 · 66–21–14
9. 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.2 we expected. 1–0 · 66–21–13
10. 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Toronto FC 1–1 Orlando City SC
11. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Toronto FC win: 39% at kick-off, 33% now
12. 45′SECOND HALF Toronto FC 1–1 Orlando City SC
13. 46′Orlando City SC level it on 45′ through Martin Ojeda. 1–1. 1–1 · 33–35–31
14. 49′⚽ GOAL · 49' Toronto FC 2–1 Orlando City SC · Lewis Morgan
15. 50′Theo Corbeanu scores for Toronto FC on 49′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 70–21–9
16. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Toronto FC win: 39% at kick-off, 69% now
17. 52′We said Toronto FC at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 2–1 · 70–21–8
18. 57′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Toronto FC · On: Djordje Mihailovic · Off: Lewis Morgan
19. 64′We said Toronto FC at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 2–1 · 75–20–5
20. 66′🟨 YELLOW · 66' Alonso · Toronto FC
21. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Orlando City SC · On: Daryl Dike · Off: Harvey Graham Sarajian
22. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 71' Toronto FC win: 39% at kick-off, 79% now
23. 73′We said Toronto FC at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 2–1 · 80–17–3
24. 76′🟨 YELLOW · 75' Benjamin Kuscevic · Toronto FC
25. 77′76′ and it is 2–1: Antoine Griezmann on the scoresheet for Orlando City SC. 2–1 · 83–15–2
26. 77′⚽ GOAL · 76' Toronto FC 2–2 Orlando City SC · Antoine Griezmann
27. 78′We said Toronto FC at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 16%. 2–2 · 16–68–16
28. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Toronto FC win: 39% at kick-off, 16% now
29. 78′THE CALL SWINGS · 78' Draw is now our likeliest result at 68% (was Toronto FC win 16%)
30. 79′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.2 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 15–70–15
31. 81′We said Toronto FC at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 2–2 · 13–74–13
32. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Toronto FC · On: Derrick Etienne Jr. · Off: Dániel Sallói
33. 82′We said Toronto FC at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 1%. 2–3 · 1–11–88
34. 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Toronto FC 2–3 Orlando City SC · Antoine Griezmann
35. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Toronto FC win: 39% at kick-off, 1% now
36. 82′THE CALL SWINGS · 82' Orlando City SC win is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Draw 11%)
37. 83′5 goals already, more than the 3.2 we expected for the whole match. 2–3 · 1–10–89
38. 83′🟨 YELLOW · 82' Vinicius Nogueira · Orlando City SC
39. 85′Orlando City SC ahead on 83′ through Daryl Dike. 2–3. 2–3 · 0–8–91
40. 85′🟨 YELLOW · 85' Robin Lucius Fraser · Toronto FC
41. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Orlando City SC · On: Braian Ojeda · Off: Wilder Cartagena
42. 89′We said Toronto FC at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 6%. 3–3 · 6–88–6
43. 89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Toronto FC 3–3 Orlando City SC · Theo Corbeanu
44. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Toronto FC · On: Emilio Aristizábal · Off: Alonso
45. 89′THE CALL SWINGS · 89' Draw is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Orlando City SC win 6%)
46. 90′Matheus Pereira de Souza scores for Toronto FC on 89′ — 3–3. 3–3 · 5–90–5
47. 90′3–3 at the end. Our 39% on Toronto FC misses, and the record keeps it. 3–3 · 0–100–0
48. 91′That is 6, and we only asked for 3.2 across ninety minutes. 3–3 · 4–92–4
49. 94′SUBSTITUTION · 94' Orlando City SC · On: Zakaria Taifi · Off: Eduard Atuesta
50. 95′🟨 YELLOW · 94' Richie Laryea · Toronto FC
51. FTFULL TIME Toronto FC 3–3 Orlando City SC
52. FTToronto FC 3–3 Orlando City SC · Toronto FC win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.