Real Salt Lake v San Jose Earthquakes

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Real Salt Lake win at 47%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Real Salt Lake 47% before kick-off, 47% now. 0–0 · 47–23–30
3. 1′KICK-OFF Real Salt Lake v San Jose Earthquakes
4. 45′10.0 shots for San Jose Earthquakes, 5.0 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 38–35–27
5. 45′HALF-TIME Real Salt Lake 0–0 San Jose Earthquakes
6. 45′SECOND HALF Real Salt Lake 0–0 San Jose Earthquakes
7. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Real Salt Lake win: 47% at kick-off, 37% now
8. 50′SUBSTITUTION · 45' San Jose Earthquakes · On: Eduard Löwen · Off: Paul Marie
9. 53′We said Real Salt Lake at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 35%. 0–0 · 35–40–25
10. 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Real Salt Lake win 35%)
11. 55′We said Real Salt Lake at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–41–24
12. 56′Goalless on 56′ when we expected about 3.2 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 34–42–24
13. 57′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Real Salt Lake · On: Chadwick Zachary Booth · Off: Dominik Marczuk
14. 59′SUBSTITUTION · 59' San Jose Earthquakes · On: Jack Jasinski · Off: Beau Leroux
15. 59′SUBSTITUTION · 59' San Jose Earthquakes · On: Timo Werner · Off: Nick Fernandez
16. 65′We said Real Salt Lake at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–50–21
17. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 68' San Jose Earthquakes · On: Vitor Costa · Off: Jamar Ricketts
18. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Real Salt Lake win: 47% at kick-off, 27% now
19. 72′We said Real Salt Lake at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–58–18
20. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Real Salt Lake · On: Aiden Hezarkhani · Off: Saba Lobjanidze
21. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Real Salt Lake · On: Ariath Piol · Off: Sergi Solans
22. 78′We said Real Salt Lake at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 0–0 · 18–68–14
23. 78′We said Real Salt Lake at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 86%. 1–0 · 86–12–1
24. 78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Real Salt Lake 1–0 San Jose Earthquakes
25. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' Real Salt Lake win: 47% at kick-off, 86% now
26. 78′THE CALL SWINGS · 78' Real Salt Lake win is now our likeliest result at 86% (was Draw 12%)
27. 79′Luc De Fougerolles scores for Real Salt Lake on 79′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 87–12–1
28. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' Real Salt Lake win: 47% at kick-off, 87% now
29. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Real Salt Lake · On: DeAndre Yedlin · Off: Luc De Fougerolles
30. 82′We said Real Salt Lake at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–0 · 90–9–1
31. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 83' San Jose Earthquakes · On: Luka Jovanovic · Off: Max Floriani
32. 89′We said Real Salt Lake at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
33. 92′🟨 YELLOW · 91' Ariath Piol · Real Salt Lake
34. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 93' Real Salt Lake win: 47% at kick-off, 98% now
35. 94′⚽ GOAL · 94' Real Salt Lake 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes
36. 95′90′ and it is 1–1: Jack Jasinski on the scoresheet for San Jose Earthquakes. 1–1 · 2–97–1
37. 95′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 95' Real Salt Lake win: 47% at kick-off, 2% now
38. 95′THE CALL SWINGS · 95' Draw is now our likeliest result at 97% (was Real Salt Lake win 2%)
39. FTFULL TIME Real Salt Lake 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes
40. FTReal Salt Lake 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes · Real Salt Lake win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.