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Portland Timbers v Charlotte
Portland TimbersCharlotteMajor League Soccer · SUN 25 OCT · Providence Park
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Portland Timbers are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Portland Timbers 42%, draw 25%, Charlotte 33%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 62%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
Portland Timbers win42%Charlotte win33%Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 02:30
RoundMatchday 31
VenueProvidence Park
RefereeRosendo Mendoza
Match timeline
All events
Portland TimbersMINCharlotteEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Portland Timbers
Charlotte
Last match: 18 Oct · Major League Soccer
Last match: 17 Oct · Major League Soccer
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Portland Timbers a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 50%. We are 8 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–1.5.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 50% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Timbers win | 42% | 50% | −8 |
| Draw | 25% | 23% | +2 |
| Charlotte win | 33% | 27% | +6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 71% | −11 |
| Both teams to score | 62% | 70% | −8 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 87% | −5 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 51% | −13 |
| Portland Timbers or draw | 67% | 73% | −6 |
| Portland Timbers clean sheet | 23% | – | – |
| Charlotte clean sheet | 19% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2022Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Major League Soccer this season · since 12 Sept
PORTLAND TIMBERS
CHARLOTTE