New York City FC v Los Angeles FC

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said New York City FC win at 37%.
2. 3′KICK-OFF New York City FC v Los Angeles FC
3. 4′Much as we predicted: New York City FC was 37% before kick-off and our model makes it 37% now. 0–0 · 37–28–35
4. 29′🟨 YELLOW · 28' Hannes Wolf · New York City FC
5. 37′THE CALL SWINGS · 37' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was New York City FC win 32%)
6. 45′We said New York City FC at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–22–69
7. 45′🟨 YELLOW · 44' Aiden O'Neill · New York City FC
8. 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' New York City FC 0–1 Los Angeles FC
9. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' New York City FC win: 37% at kick-off, 9% now
10. 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Los Angeles FC win is now our likeliest result at 69% (was Draw 22%)
11. 45′SECOND HALF New York City FC 0–1 Los Angeles FC
12. 46′Goals are coming at about the 2.6 we expected. 0–1 · 8–22–70
13. 47′45′: Leo Walta on the scoresheet for Los Angeles FC, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 8–22–70
14. 47′HALF-TIME New York City FC 0–1 Los Angeles FC
15. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' New York City FC win: 37% at kick-off, 7% now
16. 55′🟨 YELLOW · 54' Agustin Ojeda · New York City FC
17. 59′⚽ GOAL · 59' New York City FC 1–1 Los Angeles FC
18. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 59' New York City FC win: 37% at kick-off, 26% now
19. 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Draw is now our likeliest result at 50% (was Los Angeles FC win 25%)
20. 59′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Los Angeles FC · On: Mathieu Choinière · Off: Igor Jesus
21. 63′We said New York City FC at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–53–23
22. 64′New York City FC level it on 59′ through Andrés Perea. 1–1. 1–1 · 23–54–22
23. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Los Angeles FC · On: Armindo Sieb · Off: Jacob Shaffelburg
24. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Los Angeles FC · On: Sergi Palencia · Off: Ryan Hollingshead
25. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 68' New York City FC · On: Talles Magno · Off: Agustin Ojeda
26. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 68' New York City FC · On: Bénie Adama Traoré · Off: Luighi Hanri Sousa Santos
27. 74′We said New York City FC at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 17%. 1–1 · 17–67–16
28. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' New York City FC win: 37% at kick-off, 17% now
29. 75′9 shots for New York City FC, 3 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 16–68–16
30. 78′We said New York City FC at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–73–13
31. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' New York City FC win: 37% at kick-off, 7% now
32. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Los Angeles FC · On: Sergio Vasquez · Off: Marky Delgado
33. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Los Angeles FC · On: Ryan Porteous · Off: Aaron Long
34. 89′New York City FC have had 12 attempts to 7 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 5–91–5
35. 90′We said New York City FC at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–92–4
36. 90′Full time, 1–1. We called New York City FC at 37% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 1–1 · 0–100–0
37. FTFULL TIME New York City FC 1–1 Los Angeles FC
38. FTNew York City FC 1–1 Los Angeles FC · New York City FC win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.