Minnesota United FC v St. Louis City

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Minnesota United FC win at 44%.
2. 4′We said Minnesota United FC at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 23%. 0–1 · 23–20–56
3. 4′KICK-OFF Minnesota United FC v St. Louis City
4. 7′St. Louis City ahead on 4′ through Rafael Navarro Leal. 0–1. 0–1 · 23–21–56
5. 10′We said Minnesota United FC at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–2 · 9–13–78
6. 10′⚽ GOAL · 10' Minnesota United FC 0–2 St. Louis City
7. 10′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 10' Minnesota United FC win: 44% at kick-off, 9% now
8. 12′Sang-bin Jung scores for St. Louis City on 10′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 9–13–78
9. 27′🟨 YELLOW · 24' Aziel Jackson · Minnesota United FC
10. 28′🟨 YELLOW · 26' Miguel Perez · St. Louis City
11. 39′We said Minnesota United FC at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–2 · 4–11–85
12. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Minnesota United FC win: 44% at kick-off, 4% now
13. 45′HALF-TIME Minnesota United FC 0–2 St. Louis City
14. 47′Goals are coming at about the 3.3 we expected. 0–2 · 3–9–88
15. 47′SUBSTITUTION · 45' St. Louis City · On: Daniel Edelman · Off: Dante Polvara
16. 47′SECOND HALF Minnesota United FC 0–2 St. Louis City
17. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 45' St. Louis City · On: Rafael Santos · Off: Tomas Totland
18. 49′We said Minnesota United FC at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 12%. 1–2 · 12–24–64
19. 49′⚽ GOAL · 49' Minnesota United FC 1–2 St. Louis City
20. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 49' Minnesota United FC win: 44% at kick-off, 12% now
21. 51′49′: Aziel Jackson on the scoresheet for Minnesota United FC, making it 1–2. 1–2 · 11–24–65
22. 51′🟨 YELLOW · 51' Sang-bin Jung · St. Louis City
23. 62′15 shots for Minnesota United FC, 8 the other way, and they still trail 1–2. 1–2 · 7–23–70
24. 68′We said Minnesota United FC at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 26%. 2–2 · 26–53–21
25. 68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Minnesota United FC 2–2 St. Louis City
26. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 68' Minnesota United FC win: 44% at kick-off, 26% now
27. 68′THE CALL SWINGS · 68' Draw is now our likeliest result at 53% (was St. Louis City win 21%)
28. 70′Minnesota United FC level it on 68′ through Kelvin Yeboah. 2–2. 2–2 · 25–55–20
29. 72′4 goals already, more than the 3.3 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 23–58–19
30. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Minnesota United FC · On: Marcus Caldeira · Off: Mauricio González Carabalí
31. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 70' St. Louis City · On: Damion Downs · Off: Simon Becher
32. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 70' St. Louis City · On: Lukas MacNaughton · Off: Sang-bin Jung
33. 73′Minnesota United FC have had 20 attempts to 8 and it is still 2–2. 2–2 · 23–59–18
34. 77′We said Minnesota United FC at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 19–66–15
35. 78′Minnesota United FC have had 24 attempts to 10 and it is still 2–2. 2–2 · 18–68–14
36. 82′25 shots for Minnesota United FC, 10 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 2–2 · 13–76–11
37. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Minnesota United FC win: 44% at kick-off, 13% now
38. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Minnesota United FC · On: Joaquín Pereyra · Off: Aziel Jackson
39. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' St. Louis City · On: Tomas Ostrak · Off: Mykhi Joyner
40. 86′We published Minnesota United FC at 44%. Our model now makes it 93%. 3–2 · 93–7–0
41. 86′⚽ GOAL · 86' Minnesota United FC 3–2 St. Louis City
42. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 86' Minnesota United FC win: 44% at kick-off, 93% now
43. 86′THE CALL SWINGS · 86' Minnesota United FC win is now our likeliest result at 93% (was Draw 7%)
44. 87′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.3 across ninety minutes. 3–2 · 93–6–0
45. 88′Marcus Caldeira scores for Minnesota United FC on 86′ — 3–2. 3–2 · 94–6–0
46. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 88' Minnesota United FC win: 44% at kick-off, 94% now
47. 89′We published Minnesota United FC at 44%. Our model now makes it 95%. 3–2 · 95–5–0
48. 90′Full time, 3–2. We called Minnesota United FC at 44% — that one lands. 3–2 · 100–0–0
49. 94′🟨 YELLOW · 90' Jefferson Abel Díaz Beleño · Minnesota United FC
50. 94′SUBSTITUTION · 90+2' Minnesota United FC · On: Tomás Chancalay · Off: Kelvin Yeboah
51. 94′SUBSTITUTION · 90+2' Minnesota United FC · On: Michael Boxall · Off: Cherrion Valerius
52. FTFULL TIME Minnesota United FC 3–2 St. Louis City
53. FTMinnesota United FC 3–2 St. Louis City · Minnesota United FC win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.