Los Angeles FC v Austin

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Los Angeles FC win at 63%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Los Angeles FC was 63% before kick-off and our model makes it 64% now. 0–0 · 64–21–16
3. 1′KICK-OFF Los Angeles FC v Austin
4. 31′9.0 shots for Los Angeles FC, 4.0 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 55–28–16
5. 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Los Angeles FC win: 63% at kick-off, 53% now
6. 41′We said Los Angeles FC at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 51%. 0–0 · 51–33–16
7. 45′We said Los Angeles FC at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 49–35–16
8. 45′HALF-TIME Los Angeles FC 0–0 Austin
9. 45′SECOND HALF Los Angeles FC 0–0 Austin
10. 46′Los Angeles FC have had 14.0 attempts to 6.0 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 49–35–16
11. 51′We published Los Angeles FC at 63%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–3
12. 51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Los Angeles FC 1–0 Austin
13. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Los Angeles FC win: 63% at kick-off, 85% now
14. 53′52′ and it is 1–0: Denis Bouanga on the scoresheet for Los Angeles FC. 1–0 · 85–13–3
15. 55′We expected about 2.9 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 49–35–16 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
16. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Los Angeles FC · On: Jacob Shaffelburg · Off: Armindo Sieb
17. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Los Angeles FC · On: Mathieu Choinière · Off: Igor Jesus
18. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Austin · On: Myrto Uzuni · Off: Oleksandr Svatok
19. 65′⚽ GOAL · 65' Los Angeles FC 1–1 Austin
20. 66′We said Los Angeles FC at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 35%. 1–1 · 35–52–13
21. 66′Austin pull one back on 66′ through Brandon Vazquez. 2–1. 2–1 · 87–12–1
22. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Los Angeles FC win: 63% at kick-off, 35% now
23. 66′THE CALL SWINGS · 66' Draw is now our likeliest result at 52% (was Los Angeles FC win 35%)
24. 66′⚽ GOAL · 66' Los Angeles FC 2–1 Austin · Denis Bouanga
25. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 66' Los Angeles FC win: 63% at kick-off, 87% now
26. 66′THE CALL SWINGS · 66' Los Angeles FC win is now our likeliest result at 87% (was Draw 12%)
27. 68′Denis Bouanga scores for Los Angeles FC on 67′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 87–11–1
28. 69′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 88–11–1
29. 71′We published Los Angeles FC at 63%. Our model now makes it 99%. 3–1 · 99–1–0
30. 71′⚽ GOAL · 71' Los Angeles FC 3–1 Austin · Denis Bouanga
31. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 71' Los Angeles FC win: 63% at kick-off, 99% now
32. 73′4 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 99–1–0
33. 74′73′ and it is 3–1: Son Heung-min on the scoresheet for Los Angeles FC. 3–1 · 99–1–0
34. 75′72′ and it is 3–1: Son Heung-min on the scoresheet for Los Angeles FC. 3–1 · 99–1–0
35. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Los Angeles FC · On: Sergio Vasquez · Off: Son Heung-min
36. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Los Angeles FC · On: Ryan Hollingshead · Off: Evgen Cheberko
37. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Austin · On: Jorge Alastuey · Off: Besard Sabovic
38. 79′We published Los Angeles FC at 63%. Our model now makes it 100%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
39. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Austin · On: Ilie Sánchez · Off: Ervin Torres
40. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Austin · On: Przemyslaw Płacheta · Off: Facundo Daniel Torres Perez
41. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Los Angeles FC · On: Tyler Boyd · Off: Leo Walta
42. FTFULL TIME Los Angeles FC 3–1 Austin
43. FTLos Angeles FC 3–1 Austin · Los Angeles FC win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.