DC United v New York Red Bulls

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said DC United win at 39%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: DC United 39% before kick-off, 39% now. 0–0 · 39–25–36
3. 1′KICK-OFF DC United v New York Red Bulls
4. 4′We said DC United at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 64%. 1–0 · 64–20–16
5. 4′⚽ GOAL · 4' DC United 1–0 New York Red Bulls
6. 4′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 4' DC United win: 39% at kick-off, 64% now
7. 7′Tai Baribo scores for DC United on 5′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 65–20–16
8. 10′We said DC United at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 65%. 1–0 · 65–20–15
9. 19′🟨 YELLOW · 19' Devin Padelford · New York Red Bulls
10. 22′🟨 YELLOW · 22' Lucas Bartlett · DC United
11. 29′🟨 YELLOW · 29' Jackson Hopkins · DC United
12. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.9 we expected. 1–0 · 67–21–12
13. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' DC United win: 39% at kick-off, 69% now
14. 44′We said DC United at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 1–0 · 70–21–9
15. 45′New York Red Bulls have had 7.0 attempts to 2.0 and it is still 1–0. 1–0 · 70–21–9
16. 45′We said DC United at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 91%. 2–0 · 91–7–2
17. 45′45′ and it is 2–0: Silvan Hefti on the scoresheet for DC United. 2–0 · 91–7–2
18. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' DC United win: 39% at kick-off, 91% now
19. 45′SECOND HALF DC United 2–0 New York Red Bulls
20. 49′⚽ GOAL · 49' DC United 2–0 New York Red Bulls · Tai Baribo
21. 56′SUBSTITUTION · 56' DC United · On: João Gabriel Martins Peglow · Off: Jackson Hopkins
22. 56′SUBSTITUTION · 56' DC United · On: Jared Stroud · Off: Oscar Avilez
23. 57′SUBSTITUTION · 57' New York Red Bulls · On: Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty · Off: Justin Che
24. 57′SUBSTITUTION · 57' New York Red Bulls · On: Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting · Off: Cade Cowell
25. 57′SUBSTITUTION · 57' New York Red Bulls · On: Emil Forsberg · Off: Adri Mehmeti
26. 58′10.0 shots for New York Red Bulls, 4.0 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 2–0 · 94–5–1
27. 58′SUBSTITUTION · 57' New York Red Bulls · On: Cameron Harper · Off: Jorge Ruvalcaba
28. 60′We said DC United at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–0 · 95–5–1
29. 66′New York Red Bulls have had 13.0 attempts to 4.0 and it is still 2–0. 2–0 · 96–3–0
30. 67′🟨 YELLOW · 67' Dylan Nealis · New York Red Bulls
31. 67′🟥 RED CARD · 67' New York Red Bulls
32. 68′DC United are down to ten from 68′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 2–0 · 97–3–0
33. 68′🟥 RED CARD · 68' Lucas Bartlett · DC United
34. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 70' DC United · On: Sean Nealis · Off: Brandon Servania
35. 70′GOAL DISALLOWED · 70' New York Red Bulls
36. 71′We said DC United at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 2–1 · 80–17–3
37. 71′⚽ GOAL · 71' DC United 2–1 New York Red Bulls
38. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' DC United win: 39% at kick-off, 80% now
39. 73′New York Red Bulls pull one back on 71′ through Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting. 2–1. 2–1 · 82–16–2
40. 74′16.0 shots for New York Red Bulls, 4.0 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 2–1 · 82–15–2
41. 74′🟨 YELLOW · 73' Ronald Donkor · New York Red Bulls
42. 75′3 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 83–15–2
43. 78′We said DC United at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 86%. 2–1 · 86–13–1
44. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' New York Red Bulls · On: Sekou Kone · Off: Ronald Donkor
45. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' DC United win: 39% at kick-off, 89% now
46. 90′New York Red Bulls have had 21.0 attempts to 4.0 and it is still 2–1. 2–1 · 96–4–0
47. FTFULL TIME DC United 2–1 New York Red Bulls
48. FTDC United 2–1 New York Red Bulls · DC United win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.